Milwaukee @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang in today's matchup. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (4°) is considerably lower than his 10.2° angle last season. Over the past week, Brice Turang's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Fernando Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Chourio in today's game. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Chourio today. In the past week, Jackson Chourio's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Amed Rosario's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today. Noelvi Marte has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.2% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Noelvi Marte's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today's game. T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Will Benson has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jonathan India will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jonathan India has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .246 figure is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Cruz in today's game. Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Rhys Hoskins has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 19% over the past two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge today. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. Santiago Espinal has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.3-mph EV.

Blake Perkins's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Blake Perkins has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Maile has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .205 BA is a fair amount lower than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 19th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Fernando Cruz throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage today. Garrett Mitchell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Sal Frelick has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.