Milwaukee @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Chourio
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Fernando Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Chourio in today's game. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Chourio today. In the past week, Jackson Chourio's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fernando Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Chourio in today's game. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Chourio today. In the past week, Jackson Chourio's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Amed Rosario's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Amed Rosario's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Marte
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-161
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-161
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today. Noelvi Marte has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.2% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Noelvi Marte's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today. Noelvi Marte has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.2% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Noelvi Marte's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. France
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ty France has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today's game. T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an edge in today's game. T.J. Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Will Benson has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Benson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Will Benson has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jonathan India will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jonathan India has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .246 figure is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jonathan India will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jonathan India has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .246 figure is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Bauers
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Cruz in today's game. Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Jake Bauers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Cruz in today's game. Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Rhys Hoskins has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 19% over the past two weeks.

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Rhys Hoskins has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 19% over the past two weeks.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

G. Mitchell
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 19th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Fernando Cruz throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage today. Garrett Mitchell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Garrett Mitchell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 19th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Fernando Cruz throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage today. Garrett Mitchell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

D. Smith
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-161
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-161
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge today. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge today. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Espinal
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. Santiago Espinal has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.3-mph EV.

Santiago Espinal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. Santiago Espinal has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.3-mph EV.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Perkins
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Blake Perkins's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Blake Perkins has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Blake Perkins's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Blake Perkins has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Luke Maile Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

L. Maile
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Maile has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .205 BA is a fair amount lower than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luke Maile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Maile has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .205 BA is a fair amount lower than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Fernando Cruz throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge in today's game. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Fernando Cruz throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge in today's game. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast