Final Mar 31
KC 11 +104 o8.5
MIL 1 -113 u8.5
Final Mar 31
MIN 0 -185 o7.0
CHW 9 +169 u7.0
Final Mar 31
BOS 5 +131 o9.5
BAL 8 -142 u9.5
Final Mar 31
COL 1 +273 o9.0
PHI 6 -310 u9.0
Final Mar 31
TEX 3 -125 o8.5
CIN 14 +115 u8.5
Final Mar 31
NYM 10 -185 o8.5
MIA 4 +169 u8.5
Final Mar 31
PIT 1 +160 o8.5
TB 6 -174 u8.5
Final Mar 31
WAS 2 +151 o8.5
TOR 5 -164 u8.5
Final (10) Mar 31
LAA 5 +144 o8.0
STL 4 -157 u8.0
Final Mar 31
SF 7 +109 o8.0
HOU 2 -118 u8.0
Final Mar 31
CLE 2 +121 o7.5
SD 7 -131 u7.5
Final Mar 31
DET 9 +108 o7.5
SEA 6 -117 u7.5
Final Mar 31
CHC 18 -146 o8.5
ATH 3 +135 u8.5
Final Mar 31
ATL 1 +193 o8.0
LAD 6 -213 u8.0

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay props

George M. Steinbrenner Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's game. Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .202 BA is a good deal lower than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Adam Frazier is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.4% rate since the start of last season).

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's game. Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .202 BA is a good deal lower than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Adam Frazier is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.4% rate since the start of last season).

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Drew Rasmussen today.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Drew Rasmussen today.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

I. Kiner-Falefa
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. With a .272 batting average since the start of last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has performed in the 80th percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. With a .272 batting average since the start of last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has performed in the 80th percentile.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand today. Jack Suwinski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand today. Jack Suwinski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Mangum
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Mangum pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Mangum pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jonathan DeLuca Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. DeLuca
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jonny Deluca will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jonathan DeLuca

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jonny Deluca will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen's 21.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 98th percentile.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen's 21.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 98th percentile.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 57.1% of the time over the last 14 days.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 57.1% of the time over the last 14 days.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 83rd percentile with a 18° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 83rd percentile with a 18° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

Thomas Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Over the last 7 days, Tommy Pham's maximum exit velocity (a favorable measure of recent form and raw power) has been 111-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

Thomas Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Over the last 7 days, Tommy Pham's maximum exit velocity (a favorable measure of recent form and raw power) has been 111-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-335
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-335
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 12th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 12th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Kameron Misner Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

K. Misner
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski today... and even more favorably, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

Kameron Misner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski today... and even more favorably, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

Joseph Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Joey Bart has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, posting a 26.8° angle on such balls in the last 14 days. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Joey Bart has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), placing in the 78th percentile.

Joseph Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Joey Bart has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, posting a 26.8° angle on such balls in the last 14 days. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Joey Bart has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), placing in the 78th percentile.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Morel
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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