Philadelphia @ St. Louis props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Thomas Saggese has been hot recently, posting a .457 wOBA in the past week's worth of games. Thomas Saggese has hit one of the hardest balls in the league in the past week's worth of games — 109-mph — which is a good proxy for recent form and raw power.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield among all parks — generally bad for HRs. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%. In the past week's worth of games, J.T. Realmuto's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%. By putting up a 3.67 K/BB rate since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 20th percentile.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Over the past week, Alec Bohm's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 56.1%.

This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's 17.1% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers. Nolan Gorman's 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brandon Marsh has been lifting the ball well lately, posting a 45° launch angle over the last week. Brandon Marsh has compiled a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yohel Pozo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 22.2%. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 22.2% on the season to 41.7% over the past 7 days.

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Nolan Arenado has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.3 mph compared to last year's 89.2 mph mark. When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Victor Scott will have an edge in today's matchup. Victor Scott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Victor Scott has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 91.1-mph. Victor Scott has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 22.2% of the time in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. This season, Kyle Schwarber has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.7 mph compared to last year's 97.9 mph mark. Kyle Schwarber's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 14.1% to 23.7%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Pedro Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game. With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Trea Turner has performed in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Nick Castellanos will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Willson Contreras has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 107.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge today. Edmundo Sosa's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably quick, grading out in the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.17 ft/sec this year.

This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Johan Rojas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Johan Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Max Kepler has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.