Toronto @ Houston props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Alan Roden are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ronel Blanco.

When estimating his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.4-mph average to last year's 95-mph figure. In terms of his batting average, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .321 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .336. Based on Statcast metrics, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks in the 99th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .418.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park. George Springer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 17.1% this season. George Springer has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last season's 93.2-mph average.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .293 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alejandro Kirk's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 112.9 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile. Alejandro Kirk has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.47 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park. Extreme groundball hitters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Bassitt. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 7th-worst venue in the game for righty batting average. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. Ronel Blanco will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette in today's game. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Extreme flyball batters like Yainer Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Bassitt. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Yainer Diaz has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .315 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334. Yainer Diaz has put up a .288 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Yordan Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season's 93.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. By putting up a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jose Altuve finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Andres Gimenez's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Andres Gimenez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ronel Blanco.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) may lead us to conclude that Jake Meyers has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .289 actual wOBA.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Compared to last season, Anthony Santander has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.2% to 53.1% this season. Anthony Santander has posted a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In comparison to his 85-mph average last year, Isaac Paredes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.6 mph. Isaac Paredes has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 95th percentile with a 1.38 K/BB rate.

Mauricio Dubon has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Christian Walker has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 6 games.

Will Wagner has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.