Cincinnati @ Colorado Picks & Props

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage today. Mickey Moniak has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95.4-mph.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-coldest weather of all games today at 49°. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Hays today. As it relates to his batting average, Austin Hays has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .269 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236. Austin Hays has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile with a 5.93 K/BB rate.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-coldest weather of all games today at 49°. Brenton Doyle's speed has declined this year. His 29.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.6 ft/sec now. Brenton Doyle has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.65 K/BB rate.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Colorado Rockies don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl is assured to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Compared to last season, TJ Friedl has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.6% to 48.5% this season.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jose Trevino will have an edge in today's game. In the past 14 days, Jose Trevino's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph in recent games. Sporting a 1.93 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Trevino has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-coldest weather of all games today at 49°. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Noelvi Marte in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° just 30.4% of the time in the last two weeks' worth of games. With a .261 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Noelvi Marte is positioned in the 20th percentile for offensive ability. Noelvi Marte has compiled a .217 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball bats like Adael Amador are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Adael Amador will hold that advantage today.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-coldest weather of all games today at 49°. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt McLain in today's game. Matt McLain's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 98.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 94.5-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.9-mph average to last year's 94-mph figure.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Kyle Freeland. Over the past 7 days, Jeimer Candelario's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 18.2%. Last season, Jeimer Candelario had an average launch angle of 15.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today's matchup.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Aaron Schunk will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Schunk will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Sean Bouchard is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Sean Bouchard will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Toglia's true offensive talent to be a .291, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .082 deviation between that mark and his actual .209 wOBA.

Jordan Beck has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jordan Beck will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Kyle Farmer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Farmer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Jacob Stallings is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Jacob Stallings will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Blake Dunn will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week, Blake Dunn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph in recent games.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hunter Goodman will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Austin Wynns will have an edge in today's game. Compiling a 97.9-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games, Austin Wynns has been in great form recently. Austin Wynns has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, striking balls between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time in the past week.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today. Posting a 1.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Spencer Steer has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 78th percentile.