Boston Red Sox

4th in American League East (8 - 10)

Next Game

Tue, Apr 15 19:05 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #23 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Walker Buehler. Yandy Diaz's launch angle this season (-0.5°) is considerably lower than his 4.8° angle last season. Yandy Diaz's footspeed has dropped off this year. His 25.44 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.44 ft/sec now.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #23 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Walker Buehler. Yandy Diaz's launch angle this season (-0.5°) is considerably lower than his 4.8° angle last season. Yandy Diaz's footspeed has dropped off this year. His 25.44 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.44 ft/sec now.

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Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.

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Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Danny Jansen's 21.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 99th percentile.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Danny Jansen's 21.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 99th percentile.

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Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

K. Campbell
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. In the last two weeks, Kristian Campbell has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .390. Ranking in the 78th percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.89 ft/sec this year, Kristian Campbell is quite athletic.

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP talent, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. In the last two weeks, Kristian Campbell has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .390. Ranking in the 78th percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.89 ft/sec this year, Kristian Campbell is quite athletic.

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Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Triston Casas's launch angle from last season's 10.5° to 20.5° this year.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Triston Casas's launch angle from last season's 10.5° to 20.5° this year.

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Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Morel
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Christopher Morel will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Christopher Morel will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

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Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup.

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Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler today.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler today.

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Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 16th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 16th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.

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Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's game.

All Matchup props

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile with a 1.89 K/BB rate.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile with a 1.89 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Trevor Story has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Trevor Story has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

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Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.

All Matchup props

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Alex Bregman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 89-mph EV.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Alex Bregman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 89-mph EV.

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Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.

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Kameron Misner Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

K. Misner
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage in today's game. Kameron Misner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Kameron Misner has been hot recently, batting his way to a .423 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Kameron Misner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage in today's game. Kameron Misner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Kameron Misner has been hot recently, batting his way to a .423 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

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Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Mangum
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.46 ft/sec this year, Jake Mangum is quite toolsy.

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.46 ft/sec this year, Jake Mangum is quite toolsy.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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