Memphis 2nd Western Conference51-31
Milwaukee 1st Eastern Conference58-24

Memphis @ Milwaukee props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Meyers Leonard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Leonard
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Meyers Leonard has attempted 2.4 shots from the field per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 11th percentile among all players in the league. Meyers Leonard has tallied 9.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 13th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a tough one; they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (12.6). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.

Meyers Leonard

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Meyers Leonard has attempted 2.4 shots from the field per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 11th percentile among all players in the league. Meyers Leonard has tallied 9.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 13th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a tough one; they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (12.6). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.

AJ Green Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

A. Green
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-119
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-119
Projection Rating

AJ Green has averaged 9.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 13th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (41.9%). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. Memphis may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Grizzlies are on the road (10th-least in the league).

AJ Green

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

AJ Green has averaged 9.0 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 13th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (41.9%). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. Memphis may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Grizzlies are on the road (10th-least in the league).

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Memphis

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Xavier Tillman has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The matchup against the Bucks is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (52.4%). The Bucks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Xavier Tillman has converted just 54.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly less than his 72.4 mark last year. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Xavier Tillman has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The matchup against the Bucks is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (52.4%). The Bucks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Xavier Tillman has converted just 54.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly less than his 72.4 mark last year. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.2). The Bucks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Bucks is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA). Dillon Brooks will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance across the board.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Dillon Brooks has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.2). The Bucks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Bucks is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA). Dillon Brooks will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance across the board.

MarJon Beauchamp Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beauchamp
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

MarJon Beauchamp has attempted 2.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, -2.2 less than he's attempted overall this year. MarJon Beauchamp has played 6.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.4 lower than he's played overall this year. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (42.2%). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.

MarJon Beauchamp

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

MarJon Beauchamp has attempted 2.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, -2.2 less than he's attempted overall this year. MarJon Beauchamp has played 6.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -5.4 lower than he's played overall this year. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (42.2%). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

Jae Crowder has sunk 37.6% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (13.1). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

Jae Crowder

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Jae Crowder has sunk 37.6% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (13.1). The Grizzlies have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home, totaling a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Desmond Bane has averaged 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. Desmond Bane has averaged 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.2%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road. The Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Desmond Bane has averaged 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. Desmond Bane has averaged 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Bucks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.2%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road. The Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard has converted 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Luke Kennard has made 4.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Luke Kennard has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road. The Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Luke Kennard has converted 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Luke Kennard has made 4.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's sunk overall this season. Luke Kennard has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road. The Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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