Final Apr 1
PHI 91 13.0 o219.0
NY 105 -13.0 u219.0
Final Apr 1
POR 127 5.5 o235.0
ATL 113 -5.5 u235.0
Final Apr 1
PHO 123 7.0 o226.0
MIL 133 -7.0 u226.0
Final Apr 1
ORL 116 -5.0 o216.5
SA 105 5.0 u216.5
Final Apr 1
TOR 118 4.0 o238.0
CHI 137 -4.0 u238.0
Final Apr 1
GS 134 -3.5 o239.0
MEM 125 3.5 u239.0
Final 2OT Apr 1
MIN 140 2.0 o229.0
DEN 139 -2.0 u229.0
Atlanta 7th Eastern Conference41-41
Boston 2nd Eastern Conference57-25
BSN, ESPN, NBCSB

Atlanta @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Atlanta

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Aaron Holiday has been on the court for 8.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, -4.6 less than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league). Aaron Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Aaron Holiday has been on the court for 8.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, -4.6 less than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league). Aaron Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production across the board.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production across the board.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Boston is a difficult one; when the Celtics are at home, they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.4). The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA). Saddiq Bey will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens stat production across the board.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Boston is a difficult one; when the Celtics are at home, they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.4). The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA). Saddiq Bey will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens stat production across the board.

AJ Griffin Points Scored Props • Atlanta

A. Griffin
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

AJ Griffin has made 39.5% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA. AJ Griffin has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (24th percentile). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Celtics have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

AJ Griffin

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

AJ Griffin has made 39.5% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA. AJ Griffin has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (24th percentile). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games. The Celtics have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Hawks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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