Atlanta @ Boston picks

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Malcolm Brogdon has converted a terrific 42.8% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 29.6 mark last season. The Boston Celtics have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games while at home. The Hawks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Saddiq Bey has failed to convert 6.3 shots from the field per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 8.4 rate last season. Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.5 treys per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Celtics are at home, opposing squads have compiled the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (32.3%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games. The Celtics have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to raise possessions for the Hawks.

Dejounte Murray has made 19.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, -11.9% lower than he's converted overall this year. Dejounte Murray has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (94th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of three-point attempts. While on their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dejounte Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production across the board.

Al Horford has converted 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted overall this year while on his home court. Al Horford has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile. The Boston Celtics have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games while at home. The Hawks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).