Final Dec 22
HOU 114 -9.0 o222.5
TOR 110 9.0 u222.5
Final Dec 22
IND 122 3.0 o234.5
SAC 95 -3.0 u234.5
Final OT Dec 22
DEN 132 -8.5 o231.0
NO 129 8.5 u231.0
Atlanta 7th Eastern Conference41-41
Boston 2nd Eastern Conference57-25
TSN, BSN, NBCSB, TNT

Atlanta @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Dejounte Murray has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (92nd percentile). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Dejounte Murray will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production across the board.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Dejounte Murray has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (92nd percentile). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Dejounte Murray will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production across the board.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Al Horford has converted 44.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Al Horford has played 30.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court. The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Al Horford has converted 44.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Al Horford has played 30.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court. The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Clint Capela has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the NBA). Clint Capela will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production in all stat categories.

Clint Capela

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Clint Capela has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 1.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the NBA). Clint Capela will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production in all stat categories.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup against Atlanta is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 9th-lowest FG% in the league this year (43.9%). The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

The matchup against Atlanta is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 9th-lowest FG% in the league this year (43.9%). The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jayson Tatum has converted 55.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.8% more than he's made in all games this season playing at home. Jayson Tatum has played 36.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.8
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.8

Jayson Tatum has converted 55.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.8% more than he's made in all games this season playing at home. Jayson Tatum has played 36.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Hawks is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Trae Young has made a measly 2.1 threes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.0 rate last season. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.8 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league). Trae Young will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

Trae Young

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Trae Young has made a measly 2.1 threes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.0 rate last season. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.8 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league). Trae Young will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Jaylen Brown has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The matchup against Atlanta is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 9th-lowest FG% in the league this year (43.9%). The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has successfully made 56.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, -20.6% less than he's sunk overall this season.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Jaylen Brown has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The matchup against Atlanta is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 9th-lowest FG% in the league this year (43.9%). The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has successfully made 56.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, -20.6% less than he's sunk overall this season.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Collins
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

John Collins has successfully made 25.9% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. John Collins has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are on their home court (15th-least in the NBA).

John Collins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

John Collins has successfully made 25.9% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. John Collins has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. On their home court, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are on their home court (15th-least in the NBA).

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing squads have posted the lowest three rate in the league this year (32.3%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Celtics have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should boost possessions for the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing squads have posted the lowest three rate in the league this year (32.3%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Celtics have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should boost possessions for the Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart Points Scored Props • Boston

M. Smart
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Marcus Smart has made 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's converted overall this season. Marcus Smart has attempted 7.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Marcus Smart has averaged 30.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 23rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.8%).

Marcus Smart

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Marcus Smart has made 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's converted overall this season. Marcus Smart has attempted 7.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Marcus Smart has averaged 30.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 23rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.8%).

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Boston

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a whopping 42.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit more than his 29.6 mark last season. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 23rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.8%). The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court. The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a whopping 42.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, quite a bit more than his 29.6 mark last season. The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 23rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.8%). The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court. The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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