Miami @ Milwaukee picks

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. At home, the Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile). The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a hard one for scoring; when the Bucks are at home, opposing starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest FG% in the league this year (42.4%). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent has made 50.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, -29.9% less than he's made over the course of the season.