Final Apr 4
SAC 125 -11.5 o215.5
CHA 102 11.5 u215.5
Final Apr 4
UTA 112 17.5 o239.0
IND 140 -17.5 u239.0
Final Apr 4
PHO 103 15.0 o227.0
BOS 123 -15.0 u227.0
Final Apr 4
DET 117 -10.0 o225.5
TOR 105 10.0 u225.5
Final Apr 4
CLE 114 -12.5 o241.5
SA 113 12.5 u241.5
Final Apr 4
POR 113 6.5 o233.0
CHI 118 -6.5 u233.0
Final Apr 4
OKC 111 -5.5 o227.0
HOU 125 5.5 u227.0
Final Apr 4
DEN 104 3.0 o237.0
GS 118 -3.0 u237.0
Final Apr 4
NO 108 16.0 o223.0
LAL 124 -16.0 u223.0
Final Apr 4
DAL 91 12.0 o225.0
LAC 114 -12.0 u225.0
Minnesota 8th Western Conference42-40
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
TSN, BSN, NBATV, Altitude Sports

Minnesota @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (79th percentile). The matchup against Denver is a hard one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (13.9). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Anthony Edwards has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (79th percentile). The matchup against Denver is a hard one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (13.9). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 62.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 18.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage. Mike Conley has successfully made 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season away from his home court. Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for threes; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 24th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.2).

Mike Conley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Mike Conley has successfully made 62.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 18.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage. Mike Conley has successfully made 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season away from his home court. Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for threes; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 24th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.2).

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Minnesota

T. Prince
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has sunk 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing away from home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year. This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the other team have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.6%). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a measly 19.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (6th-least in the NBA).

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Taurean Prince has sunk 2.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing away from home. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year. This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the other team have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.6%). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a measly 19.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (6th-least in the NBA).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has attempted 10.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year. Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Rudy Gobert has attempted 10.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year. Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.43
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.43
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105

Christian Braun has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.43
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-128
Under
-106
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
16.43
Best Odds
Over
-128
Under
-106

Michael Porter Jr. has gone over 17.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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