PHO -4.5 o226.0
CHA 4.5 u226.0
HOU -13.0 o224.0
WAS 13.0 u224.0
LAL -7.0 o218.5
DAL 7.0 u218.5
MIN -5.0 o222.0
NO 5.0 u222.0
ATL -6.5 o239.5
UTA 6.5 u239.5
MIA 9.5 o217.0
GS -9.5 u217.0
BOS -6.0 o236.5
DEN 6.0 u236.5
Phoenix 4th Western Conference45-37
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
TSN, TNT

Phoenix @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.5). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the foul line away from their home court: 5th-worst in the league this year, tallying just 21.2 foul shot attempts per game. The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Devin Booker

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.8
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.8

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.5). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been poor at getting to the foul line away from their home court: 5th-worst in the league this year, tallying just 21.2 foul shot attempts per game. The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-139
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-139
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Suns are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 14th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (51.2%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Nikola Jokic has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Suns are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 14th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (51.2%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

Kevin Durant has attempted just 18.2 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 20.2 mark last year. Kevin Durant has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (99th percentile). The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.3). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

Kevin Durant has attempted just 18.2 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 20.2 mark last year. Kevin Durant has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (99th percentile). The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.3). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has successfully made a terrific 57.0% of his shots from the field this season, a significant increase from his 51.6 rate last season. Aaron Gordon has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Suns have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.5 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 mark last season.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Aaron Gordon has successfully made a terrific 57.0% of his shots from the field this season, a significant increase from his 51.6 rate last season. Aaron Gordon has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Suns have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.5 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 mark last season.

Josh Okogie Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Okogie
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Josh Okogie has sunk an impressive 2.2 baskets per game this year, a big improvement over his 0.8 rate last year. Josh Okogie has been on the court for 25.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Josh Okogie has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Josh Okogie

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Josh Okogie has sunk an impressive 2.2 baskets per game this year, a big improvement over his 0.8 rate last year. Josh Okogie has been on the court for 25.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Josh Okogie has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Phoenix

C. Paul
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Chris Paul has attempted 14.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Chris Paul has made 2.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's made in all games this year. Chris Paul has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 27th-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.2%). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

Chris Paul

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Chris Paul has attempted 14.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Chris Paul has made 2.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's made in all games this year. Chris Paul has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 27th-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.2%). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

Torrey Craig Points Scored Props • Phoenix

T. Craig
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Torrey Craig has converted 51.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 12.6% more than he's sunk overall this season. This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing teams have compiled the lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.4%). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Torrey Craig has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Torrey Craig

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Torrey Craig has converted 51.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 12.6% more than he's sunk overall this season. This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing teams have compiled the lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.4%). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Torrey Craig has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Ayton
center C • Phoenix
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Deandre Ayton has made 7.7 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Deandre Ayton has made 7.7 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Deandre Ayton has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-135
Under
+100
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-135
Under
+100

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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