Denver @ Phoenix picks

Cameron Payne has successfully made 40.0% of his three-point attempts at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Cameron Payne has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.7% more than he's sunk overall this season. Cameron Payne will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boosts stat production across the board.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (87th percentile). The matchup vs. the Suns is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting Cs have compiled the 13th-lowest FG% in the league this year (54.5%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road. The Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.7). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Suns. When playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 21.9 free throw attempts per game.

Aaron Gordon has made 57.0% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Aaron Gordon has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are at home (29th-most in the NBA).