Denver @ Phoenix picks
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DEN vs PHO Picks
NBA PicksDevin Booker has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns.
Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile). The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for scoring; opposing starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (54.7%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least threes per game in the league this year (1.3). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns. While playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jock Landale has made 70.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 19.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Jock Landale has successfully made 100.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 82.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season when playing at home. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for threes; when the Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (38.6%). The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jock Landale will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production in all facets of the game.
Cameron Payne has made 38.4% of his three-point shots at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Cameron Payne has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 21.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Cameron Payne will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increases stat production for all stats.
Landry Shamet has sunk 49.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.9% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Landry Shamet has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Landry Shamet will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production for all stats.
Aaron Gordon has converted 56.2% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has sunk 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's made from three in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has tallied 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.5 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last year.
DEN vs PHO Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks64% picking Denver vs Phoenix to go Over
Total PicksDEN 277, PHO 158
61% picking Phoenix
Total Picks DEN 87, PHO 136
61% picking Phoenix
Total Picks DEN 147, PHO 227
61% picking Phoenix
Total Picks DEN 96, PHO 149
71% picking Denver vs Phoenix to go Over
Total PicksDEN 163, PHO 67