Final Apr 25
BOS 93 -5.5 o200.0
ORL 95 5.5 u200.0
Final Apr 25
IND 101 4.5 o229.0
MIL 117 -4.5 u229.0
Final Apr 25
LAL 104 4.0 o207.5
MIN 116 -4.0 u207.5
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
Phoenix 4th Western Conference45-37
ESPN, Sportsnet

Denver @ Phoenix picks

Footprint Center

DEN vs PHO Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
D. Booker u33.5 Points Scored
Projection 27.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u33.5 -122 fanduel
Projection updated: 715 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
32.5 -115
32.5 -115
33.5 -108
33.5 -124
31.5 -145
31.5 +106
31.5 -145
31.5 +115
33.5 +100
33.5 -122

Devin Booker has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns.

Points Scored
N. Jokic u29.5 Points Scored
Projection 25.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u29.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 715 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
29.5 -110
29.5 -120
29.5 -125
29.5 -109
29.5 -125
29.5 -105
29.5 -114
29.5 -106

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile). The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for scoring; opposing starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (54.7%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
K. Durant u32.5 Points Scored
Projection 27.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -124 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 715 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
31.5 -105
31.5 -130
32.5 -108
32.5 -124
31.5 -133
31.5 -103
31.5 -125
31.5 -105
31.5 -106
31.5 -114

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least threes per game in the league this year (1.3). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Suns. While playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
J. Landale o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 715 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -115
8.5 -120
8.5 -139
8.5 +102
8.5 -145
8.5 +115
9.5 -102
9.5 -120

Jock Landale has made 70.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 19.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Jock Landale has successfully made 100.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 82.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season when playing at home. The matchup against Denver is a strong one for threes; when the Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (38.6%). The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jock Landale will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
C. Payne o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -120 fanduel
Projection updated: 715 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -120
10.5 -110
10.5 -132
10.5 -104
10.5 -125
10.5 -105
10.5 -120
10.5 -102

Cameron Payne has made 38.4% of his three-point shots at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Cameron Payne has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 21.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Cameron Payne will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increases stat production for all stats.

Points Scored
L. Shamet o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -118 fanduel
Projection updated: 715 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -115
9.5 -120
9.5 -109
9.5 -125
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
8.5 -118
8.5 -104

Landry Shamet has sunk 49.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.9% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Landry Shamet has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court. Landry Shamet will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production for all stats.

Points Scored
A. Gordon o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 15.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -122 fanduel
Projection updated: 715 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -135
13.5 +100
14.5 +100
14.5 -132
13.5 -125
13.5 -109
13.5 -130
13.5 +100
13.5 -122
13.5 +100

Aaron Gordon has converted 56.2% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has sunk 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's made from three in all games this year. Aaron Gordon has tallied 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.5 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last year.

DEN vs PHO Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

64% picking Denver vs Phoenix to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksDEN 277, PHO 158

Spread

61% picking Phoenix

39%
61%

Total Picks DEN 87, PHO 136

Spread

61% picking Phoenix

39%
61%

Total Picks DEN 147, PHO 227

Spread

61% picking Phoenix

39%
61%

Total Picks DEN 96, PHO 149

Total

71% picking Denver vs Phoenix to go Over

71%
29%

Total PicksDEN 163, PHO 67

DEN vs PHO Top User Picks

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User Picks

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