Miami @ New York picks

Quentin Grimes has converted 2.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Heat are the visiting team (29th-most in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile). This matchup is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 6th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.3). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. New York is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.1). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.