New York @ Miami picks

Quentin Grimes has sunk 2.9 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing on the road. Quentin Grimes has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 76th percentile. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (28.5%). The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks. The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game this year when the Heat are on their home court (6th-least in the NBA).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on the road (12th-least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks. RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Kevin Love will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production for all stats.