PHO -1.0 o227.0
DET 1.0 u227.0
ATL 9.5 o235.0
BOS -9.5 u235.0
PHI 10.0 o225.0
IND -10.0 u225.0
WAS 13.5 o229.0
GS -13.5 u229.0
CLE -6.0 o226.0
MIN 6.0 u226.0
HOU -11.5 o223.0
POR 11.5 u223.0
New York 5th Eastern Conference47-35
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38
TSN, ESPN

New York @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • New York

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes has sunk 2.9 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing on the road. Quentin Grimes has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 76th percentile. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Quentin Grimes has sunk 2.9 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing on the road. Quentin Grimes has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 76th percentile. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • New York

J. Randle
power forward PF • New York
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (28.5%). The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks. The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game this year when the Heat are on their home court (6th-least in the NBA).

Julius Randle

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (28.5%). The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks. The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game this year when the Heat are on their home court (6th-least in the NBA).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on the road (12th-least in the NBA).

Max Strus

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Knicks are on the road (12th-least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Kyle Lowry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • New York

R. Barrett
small forward SF • New York
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

RJ Barrett has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks. RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

RJ Barrett has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks. RJ Barrett will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Kevin Love will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Kevin Love

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Kevin Love will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Jalen Brunson has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (75th percentile). The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (16.6). The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks.

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Jalen Brunson has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (75th percentile). The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (16.6). The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Knicks.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has posted 30.4 points per game over the last 10 games at home, 5.0 more than he's posted in all games this season at home. Jimmy Butler has made 46.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 10.9% more than he's made from three in all games this year on his home court. Jimmy Butler has tallied 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Knicks is a favorable one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 25th-most baskets per game in the NBA this year (6.0).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.9

Jimmy Butler has posted 30.4 points per game over the last 10 games at home, 5.0 more than he's posted in all games this season at home. Jimmy Butler has made 46.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 10.9% more than he's made from three in all games this year on his home court. Jimmy Butler has tallied 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Knicks is a favorable one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 25th-most baskets per game in the NBA this year (6.0).

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-134
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-134
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Gabe Vincent has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • New York

I. Hartenstein
center C • New York
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Hartenstein has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 32.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.4

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Hartenstein has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 32.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Caleb Martin has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 12.2 rate last year. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Knicks may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (24th-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 12.2 rate last year. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Knicks may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (24th-most in the NBA).

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Josh Hart has converted 44.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Josh Hart has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile. The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 19.9 foul shots per game when the Heat are playing at home this year (least in the league).

Josh Hart

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Josh Hart has converted 44.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. Josh Hart has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile. The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 19.9 foul shots per game when the Heat are playing at home this year (least in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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