Miami @ Boston props

Kevin Love has made 79.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 47.1% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home as it relates to attempts from downtown. The matchup against Boston is a good one for threes; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 23rd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.7). The Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a whopping 41.6% of his three-pointers this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.6 mark last season. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon has converted 2.3 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Malcolm Brogdon will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Caleb Martin will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has averaged 29.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has attempted 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has averaged 42.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 8.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home as it relates to attempts from downtown. The matchup against Boston is a good one for threes; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 23rd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.7).

Max Strus has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed overall this season. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production across the board.

Jaylen Brown has successfully made a whopping 9.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.6 mark last year. Jaylen Brown has sunk 40.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 9.3% more than he's made over the course of the season at home. Jaylen Brown has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (17.8).

Grant Williams has successfully made 45.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Grant Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Grant Williams will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises player production across the board.

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 20.9 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry has attempted 5.3 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kyle Lowry has tallied 29.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home as it relates to attempts from downtown. The matchup against Boston is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Celtics are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has successfully made 37.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, -8.8% lower than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.9). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum has sunk 11.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has successfully made an impressive 6.9 free throws per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.4 rate last year.

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.8 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home as it relates to attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for threes; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 26th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (0.6). The Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart has attempted 4.7 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. Marcus Smart has played 31.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Marcus Smart has attempted 3.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.