Miami @ Boston picks

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 25 games (9.1). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made an impressive 41.1% of his three-point attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 29.6 mark last year. The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted just 21.6 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the NBA). Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Jimmy Butler has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production for all stats.

The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are away from home, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.2). The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls recently: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 19.9 foul shots per game. The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Heat are on the road (8th-least in the NBA).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Caleb Martin will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production for all stats.

Bam Adebayo has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Max Strus has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Max Strus will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Grant Williams will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Al Horford has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season. The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics.