Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP, MNMT

Washington @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

When it comes to treys, the Heat's stellar 12.4 drained threes per game on their home court rates 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Kevin Love measures in the 85th percentile for free-throw efficiency when playing at home with a a remarkable 87.5% rate since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, easily managing to get to the charity stripe. Kevin Love ought to see an increase in production for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Kevin Love

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

When it comes to treys, the Heat's stellar 12.4 drained threes per game on their home court rates 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Kevin Love measures in the 85th percentile for free-throw efficiency when playing at home with a a remarkable 87.5% rate since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, easily managing to get to the charity stripe. Kevin Love ought to see an increase in production for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Washington

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing squads have shot 47.9% on field goals (10th-best in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 11th-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (29.2%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 6thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Kyle Kuzma figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing squads have shot 47.9% on field goals (10th-best in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 11th-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (29.2%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 6thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. Kyle Kuzma figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jordan Poole has attempted 7.3 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (6.8). While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Jordan Poole has converted 4.0 foul shots per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jordan Poole

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Jordan Poole has attempted 7.3 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (6.8). While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Jordan Poole has converted 4.0 foul shots per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-113

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 93rd percentile, compiling a massive 23.7 points per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler lands in the 78th percentile for scoring ability while playing on the road with a an outstanding 51.4% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.6 minutes per game since the start of last season. When it comes to treys, the Heat's stellar 12.4 drained threes per game on their home court rates 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Wizards are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most buckets per game in the NBA since the start of last season (6.5).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 93rd percentile, compiling a massive 23.7 points per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler lands in the 78th percentile for scoring ability while playing on the road with a an outstanding 51.4% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler places in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.6 minutes per game since the start of last season. When it comes to treys, the Heat's stellar 12.4 drained threes per game on their home court rates 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Wizards are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most buckets per game in the NBA since the start of last season (6.5).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry lands in the 75th percentile for three-point shots drained, totaling 1.8 per game since the start of last season. When it comes to treys, the Heat's stellar 12.4 drained threes per game on their home court rates 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have averaged 47.5% on field goals (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, resulting in a challenging matchup. Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 14.8 field goal attempts per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, creating a strong matchup. Kyle Lowry has successfully made 88.8% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry lands in the 75th percentile for three-point shots drained, totaling 1.8 per game since the start of last season. When it comes to treys, the Heat's stellar 12.4 drained threes per game on their home court rates 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have averaged 47.5% on field goals (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, resulting in a challenging matchup. Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 14.8 field goal attempts per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, creating a strong matchup. Kyle Lowry has successfully made 88.8% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-102

The matchup against Washington is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Wizards are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.4). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. The Washington Wizards have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

The matchup against Washington is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Wizards are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.4). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. The Washington Wizards have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Washington

T. Jones
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones measures in the 2nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 0.4 fouls per game since the start of last season. The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyus Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones measures in the 2nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 0.4 fouls per game since the start of last season. The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
+100

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 5th percentile for three-point prowess on the road with a a bad 6.7% rate since the start of last season. Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.1 three-point shots per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.8 fouls per game since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting Cs have shot 21.4% on threes (15th-worst in the NBA) against the Wizards, marking this as a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 5th percentile for three-point prowess on the road with a a bad 6.7% rate since the start of last season. Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.1 three-point shots per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.8 fouls per game since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting Cs have shot 21.4% on threes (15th-worst in the NBA) against the Wizards, marking this as a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+108

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 98th percentile for field goal prowess with the home court advantage with a an outstanding 73.0% rate since the start of last season. The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Miami Heat is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 20.5 free throws per game since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 98th percentile for field goal prowess with the home court advantage with a an outstanding 73.0% rate since the start of last season. The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Miami Heat is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 20.5 free throws per game since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league).

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one; when the Miami Heat are at home, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (16.8). While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Miami is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Heat are away from home (23rd-most in the league).

Deni Avdija

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

The Washington Wizards have been the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one; when the Miami Heat are at home, they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (16.8). While on the road, the Miami Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Miami is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Heat are away from home (23rd-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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