Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
BSN, NBALP, NBCS - BA

Golden State @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Under
+100

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game at home since the start of last season. The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year. Away from home, the Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 20.1 foul shots per game. Stephen Curry is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game at home since the start of last season. The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year. Away from home, the Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 20.1 foul shots per game. Stephen Curry is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson lands in the 100th percentile for three-point shots converted with the home court advantage, averaging 4.2 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.9 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season. The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 93rd percentile for foul-shot prowess on the road with a an outstanding 88.4% rate since the start of last season.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson lands in the 100th percentile for three-point shots converted with the home court advantage, averaging 4.2 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.9 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season. The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson registers in the 93rd percentile for foul-shot prowess on the road with a an outstanding 88.4% rate since the start of last season.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Chet Holmgren has registered 15.8 points per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 91st percentile for scoring efficiency while on his home court with a a remarkable 65.2% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 28.7 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team has shot for the 7th-lowest FG% in the league since the start of last season (46.5%). The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 27th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (10.5).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Chet Holmgren has registered 15.8 points per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 91st percentile for scoring efficiency while on his home court with a a remarkable 65.2% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 28.7 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team has shot for the 7th-lowest FG% in the league since the start of last season (46.5%). The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 27th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (10.5).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 86th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.5 per game since the start of last season. Andrew Wiggins has tallied 31.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 86th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.5 per game since the start of last season. Andrew Wiggins has tallied 31.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home since the start of last season. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Warriors). Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense). Since the start of last season, the other team has attempted 26.4 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home since the start of last season. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Warriors). Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense). Since the start of last season, the other team has attempted 26.4 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+102

Since the start of last season, the other team's starting Cs have shot 64.1% on field goal attempts (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Since the start of last season, the other team's starting Cs have shot 64.1% on field goal attempts (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-120

Luguentz Dort has shot and missed 6.9 field goal attempts per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 80th percentile for misses . Luguentz Dort has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 11.1 shot attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, resulting in a tough matchup. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Warriors).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Luguentz Dort has shot and missed 6.9 field goal attempts per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 80th percentile for misses . Luguentz Dort has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 11.1 shot attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, resulting in a tough matchup. The Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Warriors).

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-114

Among all players in the league, Draymond Green lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.2 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a hard matchup. The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year. Away from home, the Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk 67.6% of his free throw attempts while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Among all players in the league, Draymond Green lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.2 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a hard matchup. The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year. Away from home, the Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has sunk 67.6% of his free throw attempts while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-109

Josh Giddey has attempted 14.3 shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (37.6%). The 9th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Thunder. The Thunder have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Josh Giddey has attempted 14.3 shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (37.6%). The 9th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Thunder. The Thunder have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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