Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Los Angeles 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
BSN, SPECSN, NBALP

Los Angeles @ Orlando props

Kia Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

D'Angelo Russell Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Russell
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

Among all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell comes in at the 87th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a whopping 0.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic, struggling to get to the free-throw line. D'Angelo Russell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

D'Angelo Russell

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Among all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell comes in at the 87th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a whopping 0.1 fouls per game since the start of last season. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic, struggling to get to the free-throw line. D'Angelo Russell will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Under
-127

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 23.1% on 3-pointers (12th-worst in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, resulting in a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. LeBron James is expected to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

LeBron James

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 23.1% on 3-pointers (12th-worst in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, resulting in a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. LeBron James is expected to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-118

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis places in the 16th percentile for three-point proficiency while at home with a a lackluster 24.3% rate since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled 0.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, designating this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Magic are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league). Anthony Davis will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Davis places in the 16th percentile for three-point proficiency while at home with a a lackluster 24.3% rate since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled 0.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, designating this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Magic are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league). Anthony Davis will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season. When it comes to scoring, the Magic's unimpressive 111.2 points per game while at home ranks 6th-fewest in the league since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 12.7 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Lakers, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive output. Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has grabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers (retaining possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Lakers are playing at home (15th-least in the NBA).

Franz Wagner

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season. When it comes to scoring, the Magic's unimpressive 111.2 points per game while at home ranks 6th-fewest in the league since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 12.7 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Lakers, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive output. Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has grabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers (retaining possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Lakers are playing at home (15th-least in the NBA).

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 88th percentile for shots away from home, compiling 15.3 per game since the start of last season. Paolo Banchero has tallied 32.9 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Lakers are playing at home, opposing clubs have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (34.5%). The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.1). The Orlando Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 88th percentile for shots away from home, compiling 15.3 per game since the start of last season. Paolo Banchero has tallied 32.9 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This matchup is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Lakers are playing at home, opposing clubs have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (34.5%). The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.1). The Orlando Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves places in the 90th percentile for 3-point proficiency while on his home court with a a great 40.1% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.9 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. Without the home court advantage, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves rates in the 87th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with a a phenomenal 86.8% rate since the start of last season.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Among all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves places in the 90th percentile for 3-point proficiency while on his home court with a a great 40.1% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.9 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season. Without the home court advantage, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves rates in the 87th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with a a phenomenal 86.8% rate since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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