Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
BSN, NBALP, KJZZ

Utah @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
+104

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 37.8% of his three-point shots while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game while on the road since the start of last season. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to boost plays for the {OPP_TEAM}. Jaden McDaniels will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 37.8% of his three-point shots while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game while on the road since the start of last season. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to boost plays for the {OPP_TEAM}. Jaden McDaniels will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 38.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 14 games on the road, 30.9% lower than he's converted overall this season while on the road. Mike Conley has converted 35.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 14 games, 18.8% less than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Mike Conley has been called for 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Utah Jazz have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Mike Conley has successfully made 38.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 14 games on the road, 30.9% lower than he's converted overall this season while on the road. Mike Conley has converted 35.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 14 games, 18.8% less than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Mike Conley has been called for 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Utah Jazz have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
+106

Walker Kessler has sunk 69.8% of his field goals while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most 3-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (0.8). The 10th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 11thbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Walker Kessler

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Walker Kessler has sunk 69.8% of his field goals while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most 3-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (0.8). The 10th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 11thbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
+112

Among all players in the NBA, John Collins places in the 23rd percentile for three-point efficiency with a a poor 27.7% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 11.2 field goal attempts per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a difficult matchup. Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have collected 11.1 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense). In regard to getting to the foul line, the Jazz's subpar 20.9 free throws per game ranks 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

John Collins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Among all players in the NBA, John Collins places in the 23rd percentile for three-point efficiency with a a poor 27.7% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 11.2 field goal attempts per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a difficult matchup. Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have collected 11.1 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense). In regard to getting to the foul line, the Jazz's subpar 20.9 free throws per game ranks 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

Anthony Edwards has attempted 19.7 shots from the field per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 7.4 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.7 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Utah is a favorable one for field goals; when the Jazz are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (49.1%).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

Anthony Edwards has attempted 19.7 shots from the field per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 7.4 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.7 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Utah is a favorable one for field goals; when the Jazz are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (49.1%).

Jordan Clarkson Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Clarkson
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-113

Out of all players in the league, Jordan Clarkson lands in the 90th percentile for field goal attempts while playing away from home, registering 16.6 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Clarkson measures in the 94th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 7.1 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Clarkson registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.5 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have shot 40.3% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a good matchup. The 10th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz.

Jordan Clarkson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Out of all players in the league, Jordan Clarkson lands in the 90th percentile for field goal attempts while playing away from home, registering 16.6 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Clarkson measures in the 94th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 7.1 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Clarkson registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.5 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have shot 40.3% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a good matchup. The 10th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz.

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Scored Props • Utah

T. Horton-Tucker
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-110

Out of all players in the league, Talen Horton-Tucker ranks in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target field goals, putting up a colossal 5.5 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Talen Horton-Tucker registers in the 18th percentile for 3-point proficiency while playing on the road with a a bad 25.0% rate since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have collected 11.1 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense). In regard to getting to the foul line, the Jazz's subpar 20.9 free throws per game ranks 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season. Talen Horton-Tucker will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

Talen Horton-Tucker

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Out of all players in the league, Talen Horton-Tucker ranks in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target field goals, putting up a colossal 5.5 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Talen Horton-Tucker registers in the 18th percentile for 3-point proficiency while playing on the road with a a bad 25.0% rate since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have collected 11.1 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense). In regard to getting to the foul line, the Jazz's subpar 20.9 free throws per game ranks 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season. Talen Horton-Tucker will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Karl-Anthony Towns has compiled 21.3 points per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 87th percentile. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 84th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 6.5 buckets per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to boost plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Karl-Anthony Towns has compiled 21.3 points per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 87th percentile. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 84th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 6.5 buckets per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to boost plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen ranks in the 96th percentile, totaling a massive 25.4 points per game at home since the start of last season. Lauri Markkanen has attempted 7.9 three-pointers per game at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Lauri Markkanen has played 33.8 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.4 three attempts per game (26th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a positive matchup. The 10th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen ranks in the 96th percentile, totaling a massive 25.4 points per game at home since the start of last season. Lauri Markkanen has attempted 7.9 three-pointers per game at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Lauri Markkanen has played 33.8 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.4 three attempts per game (26th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a positive matchup. The 10th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-104

Rudy Gobert has sunk 65.5% of his field goal attempts on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to boost plays for the {OPP_TEAM}. Rudy Gobert will likely see a spike in performance for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Rudy Gobert has sunk 65.5% of his field goal attempts on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league on their home court since the start of last season. The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to boost plays for the {OPP_TEAM}. Rudy Gobert will likely see a spike in performance for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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