Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Washington 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-67
NBALP

Dallas @ Washington props

Capital One Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-103

Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole measures in the 80th percentile for shots when playing away from home, logging 14.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jordan Poole rates in the 88th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while at home, registering 6.6 per game this year. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Jordan Poole

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole measures in the 80th percentile for shots when playing away from home, logging 14.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jordan Poole rates in the 88th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while at home, registering 6.6 per game this year. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 4.8 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have risen this year to 8.7. In comparison to last season's 1.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 4.0 per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied a mere 0.7 personal fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 1.3 fouls per game last season. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.1 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Wizards, branding this as a strong matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

In comparison to last year's 4.8 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s points per game have risen this year to 8.7. In comparison to last season's 1.2 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 4.0 per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied a mere 0.7 personal fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 1.3 fouls per game last season. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.1 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Wizards, branding this as a strong matchup.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-127

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.2 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.8 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 1.7 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s personal fouls per game have diminished this season to 0.8. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Wizards are on their home court, opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (33.6%). The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.2 shots from downtown per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.8 mark last season. In comparison to last season's 1.7 mark, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s personal fouls per game have diminished this season to 0.8. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Wizards are on their home court, opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (33.6%). The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Daniel Gafford has converted 77.8% of his field goal attempts on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 24th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (58.9%). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Daniel Gafford has converted 77.8% of his field goal attempts on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 24th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (58.9%). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Grant Williams has converted a whopping 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.4 mark last year. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year. The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards). The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Washington Wizards are the visiting squad (27th-most in the NBA).

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Grant Williams has converted a whopping 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.4 mark last year. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year. The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards). The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Washington Wizards are the visiting squad (27th-most in the NBA).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Under
-113

Kyrie Irving has attempted just 17.9 shots from the field per game this year, significantly lower than his 20.1 rate last year. Kyrie Irving has attempted a lowly 6.9 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly less than his 8.3 rate last season. Kyrie Irving has tallied a lowly 32.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 36.9 minutes per game last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 27.8% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the NBA) against the Wizards, labeling this as a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league playing at home with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

Kyrie Irving has attempted just 17.9 shots from the field per game this year, significantly lower than his 20.1 rate last year. Kyrie Irving has attempted a lowly 6.9 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly less than his 8.3 rate last season. Kyrie Irving has tallied a lowly 32.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 36.9 minutes per game last season. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 27.8% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the NBA) against the Wizards, labeling this as a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league playing at home with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-128

In comparison to last season's 26.3% mark, Josh Green's 3-point proficiency has spiked this season to 50.5%. Josh Green has been called for just 1.8 personal fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 2.6 fouls per game last season. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year. The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

In comparison to last season's 26.3% mark, Josh Green's 3-point proficiency has spiked this season to 50.5%. Josh Green has been called for just 1.8 personal fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 2.6 fouls per game last season. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year. The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Danilo Gallinari Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Gallinari
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Danilo Gallinari has committed 0.8 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 32.8 three attempts per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Danilo Gallinari

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Danilo Gallinari has committed 0.8 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 32.8 three attempts per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Corey Kispert Points Scored Props • Washington

C. Kispert
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Corey Kispert places in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 4.9 per game this year. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 32.8 three attempts per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Corey Kispert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Among all players in the NBA, Corey Kispert places in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, logging 4.9 per game this year. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have tallied 32.8 three attempts per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dwight Powell has converted a terrific 79.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit more than his 73.5 mark last year. Compared to last season's 0.0% mark, Dwight Powell's three-point ability has spiked this season to 100.0%. In contrast to last year's 2.8 clip, Dwight Powell's personal fouls per game have fallen this year to 1.9. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Wizards are on their home court, opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (33.6%).

Dwight Powell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Dwight Powell has converted a terrific 79.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit more than his 73.5 mark last year. Compared to last season's 0.0% mark, Dwight Powell's three-point ability has spiked this season to 100.0%. In contrast to last year's 2.8 clip, Dwight Powell's personal fouls per game have fallen this year to 1.9. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Wizards are on their home court, opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (33.6%).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-275

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 97th percentile for shooting efficiency at home with a an exceptional 69.0% rate this year. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year. The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 97th percentile for shooting efficiency at home with a an exceptional 69.0% rate this year. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA as the home team this year. The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo home team in the league this year (the Washington Wizards). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
+102

Deni Avdija has successfully made a whopping 5.1 baskets per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.3 mark last year. Relative to last season's 29.1% clip, Deni Avdija's three-point efficiency has increased this season to 43.1%. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 18.7 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive output. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.

Deni Avdija

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Deni Avdija has successfully made a whopping 5.1 baskets per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.3 mark last year. Relative to last season's 29.1% clip, Deni Avdija's three-point efficiency has increased this season to 43.1%. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 18.7 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive output. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
33.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
33.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile, putting up a massive 31.1 points per game this year. Relative to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 9.8 per game. Luka Doncic has accumulated a measly 1.7 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.5 fouls per game last season. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point shots per game in the league since the start of last season (2.3).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33.7
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 99th percentile, putting up a massive 31.1 points per game this year. Relative to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this year to 9.8 per game. Luka Doncic has accumulated a measly 1.7 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 2.5 fouls per game last season. The Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point shots per game in the league since the start of last season (2.3).

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Washington

T. Jones
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards. Tyus Jones will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Tyus Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards. Tyus Jones will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Washington

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Kyle Kuzma has sunk a whopping 9.6 baskets per game this year, significantly higher than his 8.0 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma rates in the 93rd percentile for three-point shots scored when playing away from home, compiling 2.7 per game since the start of last season. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for scoring; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 28th-highest Field Goal% in the league since the start of last season (50.7%). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Kyle Kuzma has sunk a whopping 9.6 baskets per game this year, significantly higher than his 8.0 mark last year. Out of all players in the league, Kyle Kuzma rates in the 93rd percentile for three-point shots scored when playing away from home, compiling 2.7 per game since the start of last season. The Wizards check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for scoring; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 28th-highest Field Goal% in the league since the start of last season (50.7%). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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