MIN 8.0 o221.5
BOS -8.0 u221.5
WAS 11.5 o241.5
IND -11.5 u241.5
LAC -2.0 o211.0
PHI 2.0 u211.0
DAL 3.0 o222.5
MIA -3.0 u222.5
TOR 12.0 o234.0
CLE -12.0 u234.0
BK 8.5 o223.5
SAC -8.5 u223.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36

Oklahoma City @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-118

Relative to last season's 35.3% clip, Jonathan Kuminga's 3-point prowess has tailed off this season to 14.2%. Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (24.7%). The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Relative to last season's 35.3% clip, Jonathan Kuminga's 3-point prowess has tailed off this season to 14.2%. Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (24.7%). The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have registered 103.3 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a tough matchup for offensive output. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney has sunk an impressive 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 52.5 rate last season. Kevon Looney is expected to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have registered 103.3 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a tough matchup for offensive output. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney has sunk an impressive 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 52.5 rate last season. Kevon Looney is expected to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-128

Relative to last year's 1.8 rate, Josh Giddey's personal fouls per game have declined this year to 1.0. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 51.8% on shot attempts from the field (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Josh Giddey has made a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this season, a significant increase from his 75.8 rate last season.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Relative to last year's 1.8 rate, Josh Giddey's personal fouls per game have declined this year to 1.0. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 51.8% on shot attempts from the field (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Josh Giddey has made a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this season, a significant increase from his 75.8 rate last season.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.8). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.8). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has attempted 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 2.1 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Moses Moody comes in at the 18th percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 1.2 fouls per game at home this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have registered 103.3 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a tough matchup for offensive output. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Moses Moody

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Moses Moody has attempted 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 2.1 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Moses Moody comes in at the 18th percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 1.2 fouls per game at home this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have registered 103.3 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a tough matchup for offensive output. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Dario Saric has made a whopping 1.4 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 0.8 rate last season. In comparison to last season's 13.6 clip, Dario Saric's playing time has jumped this season to 20.6 minutes per game. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Dario Saric has attempted and missed 0.0 foul shots per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 22nd percentile for misses .

Dario Saric

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Dario Saric has made a whopping 1.4 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 0.8 rate last season. In comparison to last season's 13.6 clip, Dario Saric's playing time has jumped this season to 20.6 minutes per game. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Dario Saric has attempted and missed 0.0 foul shots per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 22nd percentile for misses .

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

In comparison to last year's 32.1% rate, Luguentz Dort's 3-point prowess has increased this year to 46.4%. Relative to last year's 30.2 mark, Luguentz Dort's playing time has risen this year to 32.0 minutes per game. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

In comparison to last year's 32.1% rate, Luguentz Dort's 3-point prowess has increased this year to 46.4%. Relative to last year's 30.2 mark, Luguentz Dort's playing time has risen this year to 32.0 minutes per game. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace places in the 98th percentile for three-point efficiency at home with a a stellar 80.0% rate this year. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.8). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Cason Wallace has converted 100.0% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Among all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace places in the 98th percentile for three-point efficiency at home with a a stellar 80.0% rate this year. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.8). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Cason Wallace has converted 100.0% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
+100

Andrew Wiggins has attempted just 10.8 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 14.2 rate last year. Compared to last year's 34.9% clip, Andrew Wiggins's three-point prowess has regressed this year to 7.9%. Andrew Wiggins has played a measly 25.7 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 32.1 minutes per game last season. Andrew Wiggins has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.6 fouls per game last season. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Andrew Wiggins has attempted just 10.8 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 14.2 rate last year. Compared to last year's 34.9% clip, Andrew Wiggins's three-point prowess has regressed this year to 7.9%. Andrew Wiggins has played a measly 25.7 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 32.1 minutes per game last season. Andrew Wiggins has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.6 fouls per game last season. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-124

Chris Paul has converted a lowly 20.7% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit less than his 32.6 rate last season. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 36.1% on field goals (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Away from home, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Chris Paul has converted a lowly 20.7% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit less than his 32.6 rate last season. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 36.1% on field goals (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Away from home, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
-129

Compared to last year's 10.6 rate, Klay Thompson's 3-point attempts have diminished this year to 6.9 per game. Klay Thompson has been on the court for a measly 28.2 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 33.0 minutes per game last year. Klay Thompson has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Compared to last year's 10.6 rate, Klay Thompson's 3-point attempts have diminished this year to 6.9 per game. Klay Thompson has been on the court for a measly 28.2 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 33.0 minutes per game last year. Klay Thompson has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 105.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-124

Relative to last year's 10.1 rate, Jalen Williams's shots from the field have increased this year to 13.8 per game. Jalen Williams has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.8). Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 12.5 shot attempts per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a good matchup.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Relative to last year's 10.1 rate, Jalen Williams's shots from the field have increased this year to 13.8 per game. Jalen Williams has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged the 5th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.8). Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 12.5 shot attempts per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a good matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Under
-104

The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (21.0%). The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays today from competing against the 8th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can create extra chances for offense). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted just 5.9 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 9.8 rate last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.6
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.6

The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have put up the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (21.0%). The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays today from competing against the 8th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can create extra chances for offense). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted just 5.9 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 9.8 rate last season.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-124

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 81st percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a superb 47.9% rate this year. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Chet Holmgren has converted 3.3 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 7.6 foul shots per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 81st percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a superb 47.9% rate this year. The Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Chet Holmgren has converted 3.3 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 7.6 foul shots per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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