Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Chicago 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE39-43
NBCS-CH, BSN

Miami @ Chicago props

United Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have tallied 84.9 field goal attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bulls, marking this as a difficult matchup.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have tallied 84.9 field goal attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bulls, marking this as a difficult matchup.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Chicago

Z. LaVine
point guard PG • Chicago
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Zach LaVine has played 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, easily managing to get to the free-throw line. Zach LaVine will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Zach LaVine

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Zach LaVine has played 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, easily managing to get to the free-throw line. Zach LaVine will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Coby White Points Scored Props • Chicago

C. White
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-110

Coby White has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 fouls per game last year. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's poor 107.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year. Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 31.5% on 3-pointers (9th-worst in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a tough matchup. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls. The Heat have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Chicago Bulls.

Coby White

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Coby White has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 fouls per game last year. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's poor 107.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year. Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 31.5% on 3-pointers (9th-worst in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a tough matchup. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls. The Heat have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Chicago Bulls.

Nikola Vucevic Points Scored Props • Chicago

N. Vucevic
center C • Chicago
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 5.2 threes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Nikola Vucevic has averaged 33.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. Nikola Vucevic will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance across the board.

Nikola Vucevic

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 5.2 threes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Nikola Vucevic has averaged 33.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. Nikola Vucevic will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance across the board.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

The matchup against Chicago is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; when the Bulls are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 14th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (10.8). The Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls). The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

The matchup against Chicago is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; when the Bulls are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 14th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (10.8). The Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls). The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 5.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's sunk overall this year away from his home court. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 62.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.1% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year when playing on the road. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have tallied 84.9 field goal attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bulls, marking this as a difficult matchup.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 5.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's sunk overall this year away from his home court. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 62.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.1% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year when playing on the road. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have tallied 84.9 field goal attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bulls, marking this as a difficult matchup.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls). The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance across the board.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

The Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls). The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). When playing at home, the Bulls have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance across the board.

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-114

Out of all players in the league, Alex Caruso slots into the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.8 fouls per game while at home this year. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's poor 107.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are the visiting team, they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (14.9). The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls. The Heat have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Chicago Bulls.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Out of all players in the league, Alex Caruso slots into the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.8 fouls per game while at home this year. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's poor 107.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are the visiting team, they have allowed the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (14.9). The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls. The Heat have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Chicago Bulls.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+102

Kyle Lowry has made an impressive 2.3 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.9 mark last season. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. Kyle Lowry has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 88.8 rate last year.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Kyle Lowry has made an impressive 2.3 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.9 mark last season. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. Kyle Lowry has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throw attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 88.8 rate last year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 92nd percentile for shots converted, putting up a massive 8.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 96th percentile for 3-point ability with a an exceptional 50.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged 32.1% on 3-pointers (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Bulls, branding this as a difficult matchup.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 92nd percentile for shots converted, putting up a massive 8.3 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 96th percentile for 3-point ability with a an exceptional 50.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged 32.1% on 3-pointers (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Bulls, branding this as a difficult matchup.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 15.9 clip, Haywood Highsmith's playing time has spiked this season to 28.2 minutes per game. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made an impressive 90.5% of his foul shots this season, significantly more than his 51.8 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (22nd-most in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

In contrast to last season's 15.9 clip, Haywood Highsmith's playing time has spiked this season to 28.2 minutes per game. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made an impressive 90.5% of his foul shots this season, significantly more than his 51.8 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (22nd-most in the NBA).

Patrick Williams Points Scored Props • Chicago

P. Williams
small forward SF • Chicago
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 8.2 clip, Patrick Williams's shots have decreased this year to 6.0 per game. Compared to last season's 41.8% rate, Patrick Williams's 3-point performance has been reduced this season to 22.6%. Patrick Williams has tallied just 22.0 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 27.7 minutes per game last year. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's poor 107.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.

Patrick Williams

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Compared to last year's 8.2 clip, Patrick Williams's shots have decreased this year to 6.0 per game. Compared to last season's 41.8% rate, Patrick Williams's 3-point performance has been reduced this season to 22.6%. Patrick Williams has tallied just 22.0 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 27.7 minutes per game last year. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's poor 107.2 points per game as the road team places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year. The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Chicago

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

DeMar DeRozan has notched a whopping 24.4 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 24.1 points per game last year. DeMar DeRozan has converted a whopping 57.3% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly higher than his 24.4 rate last season. DeMar DeRozan has played 34.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. DeMar DeRozan has been called for 1.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. DeMar DeRozan figures to see a spike in production across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

DeMar DeRozan has notched a whopping 24.4 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 24.1 points per game last year. DeMar DeRozan has converted a whopping 57.3% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly higher than his 24.4 rate last season. DeMar DeRozan has played 34.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. DeMar DeRozan has been called for 1.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. DeMar DeRozan figures to see a spike in production across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Andre Drummond Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Drummond
center C • Chicago
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Andre Drummond has successfully made 67.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's made in all games this season on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have averaged 45.8% on shots from the field (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a difficult matchup. Andre Drummond has made a terrific 65.7% of his foul shots this year, significantly more than his 50.0 mark last year. This year, their opposition has attempted 19.5 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line. Andre Drummond will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player performance across the board.

Andre Drummond

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Andre Drummond has successfully made 67.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's made in all games this season on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have averaged 45.8% on shots from the field (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a difficult matchup. Andre Drummond has made a terrific 65.7% of his foul shots this year, significantly more than his 50.0 mark last year. This year, their opposition has attempted 19.5 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line. Andre Drummond will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player performance across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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