Milwaukee @ Boston picks

Pat Connaughton has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. With respect to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 123.0 points per game places 2nd-best in the league this year. The 4th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White has converted 2.4 three-pointers per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Celtics's outstanding 125.2 points per game playing at home places 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 20.9 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 13.5 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bucks, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive output. The least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics. The Celtics have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the other team has grabbed 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (continuing possessions that can generate added chances for offense). The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).