Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55

Dallas @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 13.4 clip, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has risen this season to 26.3 minutes per game. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, opposing starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Compared to last season's 40.6% mark, Bismack Biyombo's free-throw ability has risen this season to 55.2%.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Relative to last season's 13.4 clip, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has risen this season to 26.3 minutes per game. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, opposing starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Compared to last season's 40.6% mark, Bismack Biyombo's free-throw ability has risen this season to 55.2%.

Seth Curry Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Curry
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 40.4% clip, Seth Curry's field goal proficiency has tailed off this season to 28.8%. Seth Curry has played a measly 9.4 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 19.4 minutes per game last season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 9.9 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Seth Curry

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Relative to last season's 40.4% clip, Seth Curry's field goal proficiency has tailed off this season to 28.8%. Seth Curry has played a measly 9.4 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 19.4 minutes per game last season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 9.9 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
36.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
36.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. Compared to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has decreased this year to 7.9 free throw attempts per game. Luka Doncic will likely suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing away from home in this contest.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 36.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.4
Prop:
36.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.4

The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. Compared to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has decreased this year to 7.9 free throw attempts per game. Luka Doncic will likely suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing away from home in this contest.

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 28.9% on three-pointers (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

David Roddy

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 28.9% on three-pointers (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a difficult matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 69.3% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Dereck Lively II has sunk 69.3% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Jaylen Nowell Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Nowell
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Nowell measures in the 19th percentile for three-point performance away from his home court with a a feeble 16.7% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Nowell measures in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.0 fouls per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. The Grizzlies have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Nowell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Nowell measures in the 19th percentile for three-point performance away from his home court with a a feeble 16.7% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Nowell measures in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a colossal 0.0 fouls per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. The Grizzlies have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-115

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 13.5 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. In comparison to last season's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this season to 9.1 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.9).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 13.5 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. In comparison to last season's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this season to 9.1 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.9).

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
+106

In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Dante Exum has attempted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Dante Exum

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. When playing at home, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Dante Exum has attempted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-108

Santi Aldama has successfully made a whopping 41.8% of his shots from downtown this year, a sizeable increase from his 45.9 mark last year. In comparison to last year's 20.9 clip, Santi Aldama's playing time has risen this year to 26.5 minutes per game. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one; when the Mavericks are playing at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (22.6). The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Santi Aldama has successfully made a whopping 41.8% of his shots from downtown this year, a sizeable increase from his 45.9 mark last year. In comparison to last year's 20.9 clip, Santi Aldama's playing time has risen this year to 26.5 minutes per game. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one; when the Mavericks are playing at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (22.6). The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Derrick Rose Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Rose
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Derrick Rose has played a whopping 18.4 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 11.6 minutes per game last season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Rose places in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Derrick Rose has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year while on the road.

Derrick Rose

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Derrick Rose has played a whopping 18.4 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 11.6 minutes per game last season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick Rose places in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Derrick Rose has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.9% higher than he's converted in all games this year while on the road.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 30.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one; when the Mavericks are playing at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (22.6). The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted an impressive 4.9 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.9 mark last year.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 30.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one; when the Mavericks are playing at home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (22.6). The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted an impressive 4.9 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.9 mark last year.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Desmond Bane has attempted 19.3 shots from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 16.5 mark last season. Desmond Bane has attempted 9.3 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.9 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Desmond Bane has attempted 19.3 shots from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 16.5 mark last season. Desmond Bane has attempted 9.3 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.9 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 7thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-143

Derrick Jones Jr. has made an impressive 1.7 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.4 mark last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.9). The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Derrick Jones Jr. has made an impressive 1.7 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.4 mark last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 119.9 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against Memphis is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.9). The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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