Los Angeles 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
SPECSN

Los Angeles @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has converted 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Dereck Lively II has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Dereck Lively II has converted 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Dereck Lively II has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

LeBron James has sunk a measly 9.3 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.7 mark last year. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA). LeBron James will likely see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

LeBron James

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

LeBron James has sunk a measly 9.3 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.7 mark last year. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA). LeBron James will likely see a decline in efficiency across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Davis
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Under
-127

Anthony Davis has attempted 0.6 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA. Compared to last year's 2.4 rate, Anthony Davis's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.2. The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have posted the 13th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (18.1%). The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Davis

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Anthony Davis has attempted 0.6 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA. Compared to last year's 2.4 rate, Anthony Davis's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.2. The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have posted the 13th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (18.1%). The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Austin Reaves will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player production across the board.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Austin Reaves will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player production across the board.

D'Angelo Russell Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Russell
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell comes in at the 81st percentile for shots from the field, putting up 13.0 per game this year. D'Angelo Russell has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. The Lakers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace visiting team in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at getting to the foul line: 4th-best in the NBA this year, tallying 26.1 free throws per game.

D'Angelo Russell

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Out of all players in the NBA, D'Angelo Russell comes in at the 81st percentile for shots from the field, putting up 13.0 per game this year. D'Angelo Russell has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. The Lakers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace visiting team in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at getting to the foul line: 4th-best in the NBA this year, tallying 26.1 free throws per game.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

T. Prince
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 19.1% on threes (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a hard matchup. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls. Taurean Prince will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production for all stats.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 19.1% on threes (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a hard matchup. The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls. Taurean Prince will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production for all stats.

Cam Reddish Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

C. Reddish
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.4). The Lakers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace visiting team in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Cam Reddish has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while at home. As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at getting to the foul line: 4th-best in the NBA this year, tallying 26.1 free throws per game.

Cam Reddish

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.4). The Lakers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace visiting team in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). Cam Reddish has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while at home. As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at getting to the foul line: 4th-best in the NBA this year, tallying 26.1 free throws per game.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, posting an enormous 32.0 points per game without the home court advantage this year. In comparison to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have risen this season to 10.2 per game. Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.7
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.7

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, posting an enormous 32.0 points per game without the home court advantage this year. In comparison to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have risen this season to 10.2 per game. Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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