Chicago 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP, NBCS-CH

Chicago @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Orlando Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

O. Robinson
center C • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+114
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 0.0% mark, Orlando Robinson's 3-point prowess has jumped this season to 100.0%. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Chicago is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Chicago Bulls are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. In contrast to last year's 75.0% rate, Orlando Robinson's foul-shot performance has surged this year to 100.0%.

Orlando Robinson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

In comparison to last season's 0.0% mark, Orlando Robinson's 3-point prowess has jumped this season to 100.0%. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Chicago is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Chicago Bulls are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.0). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. In contrast to last year's 75.0% rate, Orlando Robinson's foul-shot performance has surged this year to 100.0%.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Chicago Bulls are at home, their opposition has attempted a colossal 23.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Chicago Bulls are at home, their opposition has attempted a colossal 23.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Duncan Robinson has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this season at home. The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 14th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.8). The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Duncan Robinson has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this season at home. The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 14th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.8). The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Coby White Points Scored Props • Chicago

C. White
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Under
-127

Coby White has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last year. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA as the home team this year. Coby White stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Coby White

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Coby White has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last year. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA as the home team this year. Coby White stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Ayo Dosunmu Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Dosunmu
point guard PG • Chicago
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Ayo Dosunmu has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 9.5 more than he's played overall this season at home. The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

Ayo Dosunmu

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Ayo Dosunmu has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 9.5 more than he's played overall this season at home. The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.4
Best Odds
Under
-127

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.8%). The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.4

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.8%). The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Nikola Vucevic Points Scored Props • Chicago

N. Vucevic
center C • Chicago
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Under
-132

In comparison to last year's 2.0 rate, Nikola Vucevic's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.5. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have put up 11.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

Nikola Vucevic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

In comparison to last year's 2.0 rate, Nikola Vucevic's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 3.5. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%). This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have put up 11.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

Caleb Martin has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season. The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). In comparison to last season's 82.7% rate, Caleb Martin's foul-shot proficiency has fallen this season to 33.3%.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Caleb Martin has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season. The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense). In comparison to last season's 82.7% rate, Caleb Martin's foul-shot proficiency has fallen this season to 33.3%.

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Alex Caruso has made a terrific 55.2% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 48.4 mark last season. Alex Caruso has successfully made an impressive 1.6 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.9 mark last year. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.4 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Alex Caruso has made a terrific 55.2% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 48.4 mark last season. Alex Caruso has successfully made an impressive 1.6 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.9 mark last year. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.4 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a strong matchup. The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Chicago

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-106

DeMar DeRozan has made a mere 40.4% of his field goal attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 50.7 rate last year. Compared to last year's 22.5% rate, DeMar DeRozan's 3-point performance has diminished this year to 12.1%. DeMar DeRozan has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

DeMar DeRozan has made a mere 40.4% of his field goal attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 50.7 rate last year. Compared to last year's 22.5% rate, DeMar DeRozan's 3-point performance has diminished this year to 12.1%. DeMar DeRozan has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team has posted the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%).

Patrick Williams Points Scored Props • Chicago

P. Williams
small forward SF • Chicago
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-106

Compared to last season's 38.5% clip, Patrick Williams's three-point performance has spiked this season to 45.0%. Patrick Williams has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 6.9 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have posted the 27th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (41.9%). The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Patrick Williams

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Compared to last season's 38.5% clip, Patrick Williams's three-point performance has spiked this season to 45.0%. Patrick Williams has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 6.9 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have posted the 27th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (41.9%). The Chicago Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 9thbest in in the league away from their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-108

Kyle Lowry has made 55.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. Relative to last season's 94.9% rate, Kyle Lowry's free-throw efficiency has increased this season to 91.7%. Kyle Lowry should see an increase in performance across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Kyle Lowry has made 55.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. Relative to last season's 94.9% rate, Kyle Lowry's free-throw efficiency has increased this season to 91.7%. Kyle Lowry should see an increase in performance across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Andre Drummond Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Drummond
center C • Chicago
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Andre Drummond has converted 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. Andre Drummond has been on the court for 12.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the league: 18th percentile. Andre Drummond has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has averaged 51.7% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a good matchup.

Andre Drummond

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Andre Drummond has converted 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. Andre Drummond has been on the court for 12.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the league: 18th percentile. Andre Drummond has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road. The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has averaged 51.7% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a good matchup.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has successfully made a terrific 44.2% of his field goals this season, quite a bit higher than his 37.9 mark last season. Kevin Love has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. In comparison to last year's 17.1 rate, Kevin Love's playing time has spiked this year to 21.4 minutes per game. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have totaled 84.1 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Bulls, making this a difficult matchup.

Kevin Love

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Kevin Love has successfully made a terrific 44.2% of his field goals this season, quite a bit higher than his 37.9 mark last season. Kevin Love has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. In comparison to last year's 17.1 rate, Kevin Love's playing time has spiked this year to 21.4 minutes per game. In terms of threes, the Heat's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes when playing on the road settles in as the highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have totaled 84.1 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Bulls, making this a difficult matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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