Chicago 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBALP

Chicago @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Coby White Points Scored Props • Chicago

C. White
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Under
-106

In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 109.7 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. The most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls. Coby White will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Coby White

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 109.7 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. The most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls. Coby White will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance for all stats.

Nikola Vucevic Points Scored Props • Chicago

N. Vucevic
center C • Chicago
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-115

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile). In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 109.7 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting Cs have scored 11.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls. The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).

Nikola Vucevic

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile). In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 109.7 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting Cs have scored 11.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, creating a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Bulls. The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 46.7% mark, Caleb Martin's field goal efficiency has declined this year to 40.6%. The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.6). The Heat will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Bulls). The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have captured 11.0 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (saving possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

In contrast to last year's 46.7% mark, Caleb Martin's field goal efficiency has declined this year to 40.6%. The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.6). The Heat will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Bulls). The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have captured 11.0 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (saving possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

Patrick Williams Points Scored Props • Chicago

P. Williams
small forward SF • Chicago
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-108

Patrick Williams has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 4.7 more than he's played in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (41.8%). The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Bulls. The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Patrick Williams

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Patrick Williams has played 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 4.7 more than he's played in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (41.8%). The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Bulls. The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

Kyle Lowry has posted 14.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 4.2 more than he's posted in all games this season at home. Kyle Lowry has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year playing at home. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Kyle Lowry has posted 14.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 4.2 more than he's posted in all games this season at home. Kyle Lowry has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year playing at home. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Andre Drummond Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Drummond
center C • Chicago
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Andre Drummond slots into the 4th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a an unimpressive 0.0% rate this year. Andre Drummond has played 12.7 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 19th percentile. Among all players in the league, Andre Drummond ranks in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 109.7 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has shot 51.4% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the league) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a good matchup.

Andre Drummond

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Among all players in the NBA, Andre Drummond slots into the 4th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a an unimpressive 0.0% rate this year. Andre Drummond has played 12.7 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 19th percentile. Among all players in the league, Andre Drummond ranks in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. In regard to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's unimpressive 109.7 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has shot 51.4% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the league) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a good matchup.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.5% higher than he's made in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.5 minutes per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 13th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 13.3 field goal attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, creating a good matchup.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.5% higher than he's made in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.5 minutes per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 13th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 13.3 field goal attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, creating a good matchup.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Chicago

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing on the road. DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (18.8). The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Bulls.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 1.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing on the road. DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (18.8). The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Bulls.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 6.4 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 83.8 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 6.4 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 83.8 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson lands in the 97th percentile for three-point shots sunk, posting 3.1 per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. Duncan Robinson figures to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson lands in the 97th percentile for three-point shots sunk, posting 3.1 per game this year. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. Duncan Robinson figures to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Ayo Dosunmu Points Scored Props • Chicago

A. Dosunmu
point guard PG • Chicago
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Ayo Dosunmu has attempted 7.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Ayo Dosunmu has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Bulls. The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Ayo Dosunmu

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Ayo Dosunmu has attempted 7.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Ayo Dosunmu has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Bulls. The Bulls have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has sunk 55.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's converted overall this year on his home court. Kevin Love has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 83.8 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

Kevin Love

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Kevin Love has sunk 55.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 6.6% higher than he's converted overall this year on his home court. Kevin Love has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 112.8 points per game settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 83.8 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Heat have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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