Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
BSN, NBALP

Memphis @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Trae Young has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year. The matchup against Memphis is a tough one; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (17.0).

Trae Young

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.9
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.9

Trae Young has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this year. The matchup against Memphis is a tough one; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (17.0).

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (60.1%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 more than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (60.1%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Dejounte Murray has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a tough one for scoring; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least field goals per game in the league this year (4.3).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Dejounte Murray has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Grizzlies is a tough one for scoring; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least field goals per game in the league this year (4.3).

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 6.7 mark, Santi Aldama's shots from the field have risen this season to 10.2 per game. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Compared to last season's 6.7 mark, Santi Aldama's shots from the field have risen this season to 10.2 per game. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have collected 13.4 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense). Desmond Bane figures to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this contest.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have collected 13.4 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense). Desmond Bane figures to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-107
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-107
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has notched 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.1 more than he's notched in all games this season on the road. Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 55.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 12.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.4 minutes per game on the road this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shot attempts from the field (28th-best in the NBA) against the Hawks, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Jaren Jackson Jr. has notched 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.1 more than he's notched in all games this season on the road. Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 55.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 12.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.4 minutes per game on the road this year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shot attempts from the field (28th-best in the NBA) against the Hawks, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up 25.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's put up over the course of the season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 11.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Bogdan Bogdanovic has put up 25.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's put up over the course of the season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 11.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Xavier Tillman Points Scored Props • Memphis

X. Tillman
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Xavier Tillman has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Xavier Tillman

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Xavier Tillman has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Saddiq Bey has attempted 12.6 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Saddiq Bey has been on the court for 37.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Saddiq Bey has attempted 12.6 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Saddiq Bey has attempted 7.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Saddiq Bey has been on the court for 37.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have collected 13.4 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense). The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (10th-least in the league). Ja Morant figures to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Ja Morant

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have collected 13.4 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can bring about further chances for offense). The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (10th-least in the league). Ja Morant figures to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Garrison Mathews Points Scored Props • Atlanta

G. Mathews
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Garrison Mathews has successfully made 1.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has grabbed 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Garrison Mathews

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Garrison Mathews has successfully made 1.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has grabbed 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-110

Clint Capela has converted 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has grabbed 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Clint Capela has converted 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year, the other team has grabbed 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu rates in the 12th percentile for three-point ability with a a bad 21.6% rate this year. Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; their opposition has shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.1%). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a massive 25.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu rates in the 12th percentile for three-point ability with a a bad 21.6% rate this year. Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; their opposition has shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.1%). This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a massive 25.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Clint Capela has been very high (4.5 free throw attempts per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Clint Capela has been very high (4.5 free throw attempts per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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