Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Luka Doncic is out, but Kyrie Irving is plenty capable of putting the offensive load on his back — and he will tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Nov 22, 2024 • 09:31 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 7 hrs
DEN
70 %
DAL
30 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kyrie Irving o24.5 Points (-135) Kyrie Irving o24.5 Points (-135)
Read Analysis
Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Luka Doncic-less Dallas Mavericks hit the road tonight for an NBA Cup matchup with Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets. 

My Mavericks vs Nuggets predictions expect Kyrie Irving to shoulder the offensive load with his superstar teammate sidelined due to injury.

Find out more in my NBA picks for Friday, November 22nd.

Mavericks vs Nuggets prediction

My best bet
Kyrie Irving Over 24.5 points (-135 at bet365)

My analysis
Kyrie Irving is having a solid campaign for the 8-7 Dallas Mavericks. He’s averaging 24.3 points, 5.2 assists, and 4.4 rebounds on 53.8% shooting from 3-point land. While Kyrie has actually hit the Under in points in four straight appearances, there’s reason to believe things will be different here. 

Doncic is on the shelf with a wrist injury, meaning Irving will be the main man offensively. Luka averages 28.1 ppg, which is a lot of points to make up for.

Kyrie happened to show out against the Nuggets earlier this month, too. The veteran erupted for 43 points in just 35 minutes of action. Yes, he may not be performing at a super high level on a nightly basis right now, but who else is going to take the bull by the horns in this Dallas offense?

It has to be Irving. Strictly due to Luka’s absence, this bet is worth a shot tonight. 

Mavericks vs Nuggets same-game parlay

Kyrie Irving Over 24.5 points

Klay Thompson Under 17.5 points

Nuggets moneyline

The Mavericks have won three in a row, but Klay Thompson hasn’t been playing his best basketball lately.

Klay’s shooting is inconsistent over the last handful of contests and he also scored a mere 10 points against Denver on November 10. Although Dallas is going to expect more out of Thompson with Doncic on the bench, I don’t see value in the Over. Whether it’s a cold shooting night or the Nuggets defend him well, Klay won’t do a lot offensively. 

Denver could potentially be without Jokic tonight due to personal reasons. He’s missed the last three games. Michael Malone’s squad bounced back from two straight losses sans The Joker with a victory over the Grizzlies on Tuesday and should keep it rolling here. 

The Nuggets have won four of the last five meetings with Dallas and do play better at home this season, going 5-2 as opposed to 3-3 on the road. With both squads potentially missing their superstars, I’m banking on Denver continuing their hot streak.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Mavericks vs Nuggets odds

Mavericks vs Nuggets live odds

Mavericks vs Nuggets opening odds

  • Spread: Dallas +4.5 (-110) | Denver -4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Dallas +165 | Denver -200
  • Over/Under: Over 229.5 (-110) | Under 229.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Mavericks vs Nuggets spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Nuggets are 5-7-1 ATS.
  • Dallas is 8-7-0 ATS.
  • The Under has been hit in three of the last five games.

Mavericks vs Nuggets trend

The Nuggets have hit the moneyline in 62 of their last 91 games (+13.05 Units / 4% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Nuggets.

How to watch Mavericks vs Nuggets

Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date: Friday, 11-22-2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Mavericks vs Nuggets latest injuries

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications. He's currently a senior editor at ClutchPoints and has published work for numerous betting websites in the past. 

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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