The Houston Texans return home to host the Tennessee Titans at NRG Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Texans are big home favorites after a 34-10 blowout win in Dallas on Monday Night Football to move to 7-4 on the season.
On the flip side, the Titans are just 2-8 on the year and have lost five of their last six games.
Read on to find out why my Titans vs. Texans predictions expect Houston wide receiver Nico Collins to haul in another deep ball in my best NFL picks for Week 12 on Sunday, November 24.
Titans vs Texans prediction
My best bet
Nico Collins longest reception Over 25.5 yards (-120 at BetMGM)
My analysis
The Houston Texans have one of the best groups of wide receivers in the league and Nico Collins is finally back from his injury after missing over a month. He returned with a modest performance on Monday night, putting up 54 yards on four catches (seven targets). However, one of those catches went for 33 yards.
That isn't unusual for Collins, who's gone Over 25.5 yards on his longest reception in each of his six games, easily clearing it in a few of those contests.
Going back to Week 1, Collins’ longest receptions have gone for 55, 28, 34, 26, 67, and 33 yards, clearing this 25.5 mark every single time. He put up similar numbers in most of his games last season as well with 26+ yard catches in nine of his 17 games (including playoffs).
The Tennessee Titans have struggled against the deep ball all year long. Just last week both Justin Jefferson (31 yards) and Jordan Addison (47 yards) went over this 25.5-yard mark. In fact, there has been at least one 26+ yard catch in six of 10 games against Tennesee this season.
Look for Collins to bring in another deep ball this week at home.
Titans vs Texans same-game parlay
Nico Collins Over 75.5 receiving yards
Nico Collins anytime TD
Joe Mixon anytime TD
Last week was a down game for Collins with only 54 yards, but he surpassed this 75.5-yard mark in each of his first five games, topping the century mark three times.
He’s only scored in three of six games this season, but he’s tied for the team lead with those three receiving touchdowns and the Titans have allowed a WR TD in five of their last six games.
Joe Mixon is -208 to score a touchdown as he’s found the end zone in six straight games since returning from injury.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Titans vs Texans odds
Titans vs Texans live odds
Titans vs Texans opening odds
- Spread: Tennessee +8 | Houston -8
- Moneyline: Tennessee +350 | Houston -350
- Over/Under: Over 42 (-105) | Under 42 (-115)
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Titans vs Texans spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Texans opened at -8 at got bet up to as high as -9.5 on Tuesday, but the spread has moved down to -7.5 as of Friday afternoon.
- The total has also come down to 40.5 after opening at 42 early in the week.
Titans vs Texans betting trend to know
The Texans have scored last in four of their last five games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Texans.
Titans vs Texans game info
| Location: | NRG Stadium, Houston, TX |
| Date: | Sunday, 11-24, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | CBS |
Titans vs Texans latest injuries
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