Titans vs Texans Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Best Bets for NFL Week 12

Nico Collins has consistently been a deep threat for the Houston Texans and QB CJ Stroud when healthy. He shook off the rust in his first game back last week and we expect him to torch the Titans down the field in Week 12.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Nov 24, 2024 • 11:39 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Nico Collins Houston Texans NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Houston Texans WR Nico Collins celebrates coming out of the tunnel.

The Houston Texans return home to host the Tennessee Titans on Sunday after blowing out the Cowboys last week. 

With Nico Collins playing his second game after returning from injury, my Titans vs. Texans predictions like him to take another deep step forward on November 24.

Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from NRG Stadium in Houston, with the game airing on CBS.  

Titans vs Texans prediction and best bet

Who will win Titans vs Texans?

The Texans are big favorites at -400 on the moneyline, and for good reason. The Titans are in turmoil right now, with their lone wins coming against the Patriots and Dolphins. 

Houston is rolling and should continue to do so here.

My best bet
Nico Collins longest reception Over 25.5 yards (-120 at BetMGM)

My analysis

The Houston Texans have one of the best groups of wide receivers in the league and Nico Collins is finally back from his injury after missing over a month. He returned with a modest performance on Monday night, putting up 54 yards on four catches (seven targets). However, one of those catches went for 33 yards.

That isn't unusual for Collins, who's gone Over 25.5 yards on his longest reception in each of his six games, easily clearing it in a few of those contests.

Going back to Week 1, Collins’ longest receptions have gone for 55, 28, 34, 26, 67, and 33 yards, clearing this 25.5 mark every single time. He put up similar numbers in most of his games last season as well with 26+ yard catches in nine of his 17 games (including playoffs).

The Tennessee Titans have struggled against the deep ball all year long. Just last week both Justin Jefferson (31 yards) and Jordan Addison (47 yards) went over this 25.5-yard mark. In fact, there has been at least one 26+ yard catch in six of 10 games against Tennesee this season.

Look for Collins to bring in another deep ball this week at home.

Titans vs Texans same-game parlay

Nico Collins Over 75.5 receiving yards

Nico Collins anytime TD

Joe Mixon anytime TD

Last week was a down game for Collins with only 54 yards, but he surpassed this 75.5-yard mark in each of his first five games, topping the century mark three times.

He’s only scored in three of six games this season, but he’s tied for the team lead with those three receiving touchdowns and the Titans have allowed a WR TD in five of their last six games.

Joe Mixon is -208 to score a touchdown as he’s found the end zone in six straight games since returning from injury. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Titans vs Texans odds

Titans vs Texans live odds

Titans vs Texans opening odds

  • Spread: Tennessee +8 | Houston -8
  • Moneyline: Tennessee +350 | Houston -350
  • Over/Under: Over 42 (-105) | Under 42 (-115)

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Titans vs Texans spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Texans opened at -8 at got bet up to as high as -9.5 on Tuesday, but the spread has moved down to -7.5 as of Friday afternoon.
  • The total has also come down to 40.5 after opening at 42 early in the week.
  • 64% of Covers Consensus users are backing Tennessee on the spread, while 64% are taking the Over.

Titans vs Texans betting trend to know

The Texans have scored last in four of their last five games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Texans.

Titans vs Texans game info

Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Date: Sunday, 11-24, 2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

Titans vs Texans latest injuries

Titans vs Texans weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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