Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBCS - BA, ROOT Sports, NBALP

Portland @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 6th-most lethargic pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). While at home, the Warriors have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton will likely experience a decrease in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 6th-most lethargic pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). While at home, the Warriors have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton will likely experience a decrease in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has played 11.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the league: 15th percentile. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers). Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Trayce Jackson-Davis has played 11.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the league: 15th percentile. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers). Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Anfernee Simons has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shot attempts from the field (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The 6th-most lethargic pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

Anfernee Simons has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shot attempts from the field (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The 6th-most lethargic pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 73.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season while at home. Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 48.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 21.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 84th percentile for getting to the foul line, averaging an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game this year. Jonathan Kuminga will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 73.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season while at home. Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 48.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 21.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 84th percentile for getting to the foul line, averaging an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game this year. Jonathan Kuminga will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jerami Grant has successfully made 53.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Jerami Grant has tallied 34.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, resulting in a positive matchup. The Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant lands in the 95th percentile for foul shots sunk, registering a massive 4.7 per game this year.

Jerami Grant

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Jerami Grant has successfully made 53.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Jerami Grant has tallied 34.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, resulting in a positive matchup. The Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant lands in the 95th percentile for foul shots sunk, registering a massive 4.7 per game this year.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-127
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-127
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson ranks in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a colossal 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Portland is a difficult one; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (12.1). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Out of all players in the league, Klay Thompson ranks in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a colossal 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Portland is a difficult one; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (12.1). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers). Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Brandin Podziemski has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.1 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers). Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the league).

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the league).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have totaled 9.7 three-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, creating a tough matchup. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Chris Paul ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Chris Paul

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have totaled 9.7 three-pointers per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, creating a tough matchup. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Chris Paul ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Toumani Camara has made 60.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 16.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Toumani Camara has made 55.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 22.4% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, marking this as a good matchup. The Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Warriors may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (23rd-most in the league).

Toumani Camara

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Toumani Camara has made 60.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 16.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Toumani Camara has made 55.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 22.4% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, marking this as a good matchup. The Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Warriors may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (23rd-most in the league).

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Under
-160
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Under
-160
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has converted a measly 55.2% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly lower than his 65.4 mark last year. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers). Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

Kevon Looney

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.2

Kevon Looney has converted a measly 55.2% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly lower than his 65.4 mark last year. The Warriors rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Golden State Warriors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers). Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 11.7 per game this year. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has converted a terrific 5.8 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.4 rate last year. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.7
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.7

Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 11.7 per game this year. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 88th percentile. The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has converted a terrific 5.8 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.4 rate last year. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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