Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBALP, NBCSCA

Minnesota @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has sunk 13.6% of his treys this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kyle Anderson has tallied a mere 22.9 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 28.5 minutes per game last season. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's feeble 12.0 successful threes per game rates 9th-worst in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Kyle Anderson has made 69.0% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Kyle Anderson has sunk 13.6% of his treys this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kyle Anderson has tallied a mere 22.9 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 28.5 minutes per game last season. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's feeble 12.0 successful threes per game rates 9th-worst in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Kyle Anderson has made 69.0% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup for offensive output. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Keegan Murray has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup for offensive output. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has converted 29.9% of his shot attempts from the field playing at home this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles ranks in the 15th percentile for 3-point performance with a a weak 23.2% rate this year. Relative to last year's 0.1 mark, Trey Lyles's technical fouls have jumped this year to 0.1 per game. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Trey Lyles has converted 29.9% of his shot attempts from the field playing at home this year, ranking in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles ranks in the 15th percentile for 3-point performance with a a weak 23.2% rate this year. Relative to last year's 0.1 mark, Trey Lyles's technical fouls have jumped this year to 0.1 per game. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Naz Reid has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Naz Reid has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Naz Reid has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 54.2% of his treys over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a good matchup. The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 54.2% of his treys over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a good matchup. The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (8th-least in the NBA).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (8th-least in the NBA).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 88th percentile for shots from the field scored, logging a whopping 7.4 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 88th percentile for shots from the field scored, logging a whopping 7.4 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 8thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 40.7% more than he's made overall this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 40.7% more than he's made overall this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's feeble 12.0 successful threes per game rates 9th-worst in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Anthony Edwards will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.5
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.5

Anthony Edwards has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up. In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's feeble 12.0 successful threes per game rates 9th-worst in the league this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Anthony Edwards will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has converted 68.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Rudy Gobert has converted 68.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The Sacramento Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's feeble 12.0 successful threes per game rates 9th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Kings are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 7th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (30.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Mike Conley ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

Mike Conley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

In terms of treys, the Timberwolves's feeble 12.0 successful threes per game rates 9th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Kings are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 7th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (30.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Mike Conley ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Malik Monk

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-128
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-128
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (13th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (13th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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