Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
ROOT Sports, NBCSCA

Sacramento @ Portland props

Moda Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Moses Brown Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brown
center C • Portland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Moses Brown has attempted 2.6 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Moses Brown places in the 12th percentile for playing time, putting up a lowly 5.0 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have shot 37.4% on threes (10th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a good matchup. The number of points scored against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (11.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

Moses Brown

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Moses Brown has attempted 2.6 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Moses Brown places in the 12th percentile for playing time, putting up a lowly 5.0 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have shot 37.4% on threes (10th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a good matchup. The number of points scored against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (11.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 7.6 clip, Deandre Ayton's shots sunk have dropped this year to 6.0 per game. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have shot 37.4% on threes (10th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a good matchup. The number of points scored against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (12.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The showdown with Domantas Sabonis in terms of drawing fouls lands in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting just 2.3 foul shots per game this year when they are playing at home.

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

In contrast to last year's 7.6 clip, Deandre Ayton's shots sunk have dropped this year to 6.0 per game. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing clubs have shot 37.4% on threes (10th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a good matchup. The number of points scored against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (12.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The showdown with Domantas Sabonis in terms of drawing fouls lands in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting just 2.3 foul shots per game this year when they are playing at home.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

Keegan Murray has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The matchup against Portland is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4). The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Keegan Murray will likely experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Keegan Murray has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The matchup against Portland is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4). The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Keegan Murray will likely experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (51.5%). The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (51.5%). The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Anfernee Simons has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

Anfernee Simons has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed in all games this season. The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Under
-107

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 29.8% on 3-pointers (13th-weakest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, making this a challenging matchup. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). De'Aaron Fox will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production for all stats.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 29.8% on 3-pointers (13th-weakest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, making this a challenging matchup. The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). De'Aaron Fox will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production for all stats.

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 10.8 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Malcolm Brogdon measures in the 80th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, averaging 5.2 per game this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 15thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 14.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.1 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 10.8 mark last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Malcolm Brogdon measures in the 80th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, averaging 5.2 per game this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 15thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 14.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-105

Harrison Barnes has converted 57.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's made in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has sunk 52.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Harrison Barnes has converted 57.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's made in all games this year. Harrison Barnes has sunk 52.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Toumani Camara has sunk 60.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 17.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing at home. Toumani Camara has made 55.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 22.1% higher than he's converted overall this season while on his home court. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.3). The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Toumani Camara

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Toumani Camara has sunk 60.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 17.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing at home. Toumani Camara has made 55.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 22.1% higher than he's converted overall this season while on his home court. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.3). The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted just 20.8 foul shots per game when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a tough one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted just 20.8 foul shots per game when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Jerami Grant has converted 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant ranks in the 91st percentile for 3-pointers made, tallying 2.5 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making this a favorable matchup. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jerami Grant

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Jerami Grant has converted 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant ranks in the 91st percentile for 3-pointers made, tallying 2.5 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shots from the field (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making this a favorable matchup. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Scoot Henderson Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Henderson
point guard PG • Portland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Scoot Henderson has made 43.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 15thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 14.5 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense).

Scoot Henderson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Scoot Henderson has made 43.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 15thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 14.5 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing teams have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-124

Domantas Sabonis has made 9.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year. As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Domantas Sabonis has made 9.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year. As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk slots into the 92nd percentile for threes made, compiling 2.6 per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk slots into the 92nd percentile for threes made, compiling 2.6 per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Kings's stellar 120.1 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 20 games. The 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers). While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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