Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Cleveland 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
BSN, NBATV

Cleveland @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.8 field goals per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Donovan Mitchell has tallied 36.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers. Donovan Mitchell has sunk a whopping 5.4 foul shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.6 mark last season.

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.8 field goals per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Donovan Mitchell has tallied 36.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers. Donovan Mitchell has sunk a whopping 5.4 foul shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.6 mark last season.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Max Strus places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (9th-least in the league).

Max Strus

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Among all players in the NBA, Max Strus places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (9th-least in the league).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
36.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
36.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.9
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks. Compared to last season's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 8.5 free throw attempts per game. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 36.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.9
Prop:
36.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.9

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks. Compared to last season's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 8.5 free throw attempts per game. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

Isaac Okoro Points Scored Props • Cleveland

I. Okoro
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 74.2% rate, Isaac Okoro's free-throw ability has dropped this season to 57.7%.

Isaac Okoro

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 0.8 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 74.2% rate, Isaac Okoro's free-throw ability has dropped this season to 57.7%.

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has made 64.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Dante Exum has made 58.9% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 20.6% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Dante Exum has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 12.8 more than he's played overall this season at home. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Dante Exum

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Dante Exum has made 64.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Dante Exum has made 58.9% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 20.6% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Dante Exum has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 12.8 more than he's played overall this season at home. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Dean Wade Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Wade
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Dean Wade has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the year. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Dean Wade

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Dean Wade has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the year. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Georges Niang Points Scored Props • Cleveland

G. Niang
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Georges Niang has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Georges Niang figures to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Georges Niang

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Georges Niang has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 10thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 10.4 offensive boards per game this year. The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Georges Niang figures to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Jarrett Allen has converted 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk overall this season. In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers. The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a positive one; he has allowed a monstrous 17.8 points per game while on his home court when guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers. Jarrett Allen has attempted 3.3 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Jarrett Allen has converted 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk overall this season. In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers. The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a positive one; he has allowed a monstrous 17.8 points per game while on his home court when guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers. Jarrett Allen has attempted 3.3 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II measures in the 97th percentile for shooting performance while at home with a a superb 71.2% rate this year. The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when Allen is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 50.5% of their three-point shots (87th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II measures in the 97th percentile for shooting performance while at home with a a superb 71.2% rate this year. The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when Allen is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 50.5% of their three-point shots (87th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic