GS -4.0 o222.0
LAC 4.0 u222.0
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
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Detroit @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet slots into the 95th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 3.0 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The 6th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet slots into the 95th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 3.0 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The 6th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Knox II Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Knox II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kevin Knox II has successfully made a whopping 48.6% of his field goals this season, significantly higher than his 43.0 mark last season. The Pistons have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. While at home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Knox II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Kevin Knox II has successfully made a whopping 48.6% of his field goals this season, significantly higher than his 43.0 mark last season. The Pistons have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. While at home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The 6th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The 6th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Bojan Bogdanovic has registered 18.5 points per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric. Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.3 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.0 mark last year. Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Pistons have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Bojan Bogdanovic has registered 18.5 points per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric. Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.3 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.0 mark last year. Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Pistons have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-128

The Pistons have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. While at home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Alec Burks has sunk 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Alec Burks

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

The Pistons have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. While at home, the Houston Rockets have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Alec Burks has sunk 93.3% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has converted 6.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year at home. Tari Eason has tallied 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The 6th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Tari Eason

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Tari Eason has converted 6.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year at home. Tari Eason has tallied 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The 6th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Houston Rockets. The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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