Final Nov 22
BK 98 3.0 o214.5
PHI 113 -3.0 u214.5
Final Nov 22
BOS 108 -15.5 o238.5
WAS 96 15.5 u238.5
Final Nov 22
GS 112 -10.5 o221.5
NO 108 10.5 u221.5
Final Nov 22
ATL 122 -2.0 o246.0
CHI 136 2.0 u246.0
Final Nov 22
POR 88 11.5 o226.0
HOU 116 -11.5 u226.0
Final Nov 22
IND 117 5.5 o235.5
MIL 129 -5.5 u235.5
Final Nov 22
DAL 123 4.5 o229.0
DEN 120 -4.5 u229.0
Final Nov 22
SAC 88 -4.0 o217.0
LAC 104 4.0 u217.0
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
BSN

San Antonio @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 48.2% clip, Luke Kennard's scoring ability has dropped this season to 38.3%. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have snagged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (saving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense). Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Luke Kennard

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Relative to last season's 48.2% clip, Luke Kennard's scoring ability has dropped this season to 38.3%. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have snagged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (saving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense). Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, opposing teams have totaled the most three-pointers per game in the NBA against them this year (15.1). The Spurs check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Keldon Johnson stands to experience a decrease in production across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, opposing teams have totaled the most three-pointers per game in the NBA against them this year (15.1). The Spurs check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Keldon Johnson stands to experience a decrease in production across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 13.8 clip, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has increased this year to 24.6 minutes per game. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 10.8 field goals per game (93rd percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.2

In comparison to last year's 13.8 clip, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has increased this year to 24.6 minutes per game. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 10.8 field goals per game (93rd percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Ja Morant has attempted 20.0 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Ja Morant has attempted 5.0 treys per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Ja Morant ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a good matchup.

Ja Morant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

Ja Morant has attempted 20.0 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Ja Morant has attempted 5.0 treys per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Ja Morant ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a good matchup.

Marcus Smart Points Scored Props • Memphis

M. Smart
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.7 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Marcus Smart registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 29.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Marcus Smart

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.7 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Marcus Smart registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 29.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-114

Among all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 86th percentile for shots from the field without the home court advantage, putting up 14.5 per game this year. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. The quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the San Antonio Spurs. While on their home court, the Grizzlies have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Among all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 86th percentile for shots from the field without the home court advantage, putting up 14.5 per game this year. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. The quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the San Antonio Spurs. While on their home court, the Grizzlies have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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