Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
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Boston @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.7
Best Odds
Under
-118

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 38.1% on field goal attempts (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a hard matchup. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can generate added chances for offense).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.7
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.7

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 38.1% on field goal attempts (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a hard matchup. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can generate added chances for offense).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Al Horford has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for scoring; opposing squads have shot for the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (44.4%). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Al Horford has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 72.6 rate last season.

Al Horford

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Al Horford has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for scoring; opposing squads have shot for the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (44.4%). The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Al Horford has converted a terrific 100.0% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 72.6 rate last season.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year. The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the road team this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.3% on field goal attempts (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a tough matchup. The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Celtics. This year, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year. The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the road team this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.3% on field goal attempts (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a tough matchup. The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Celtics. This year, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Derrick White has converted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while on the road. Derrick White has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on threes (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, labeling this as a good matchup. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Derrick White has converted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while on the road. Derrick White has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on threes (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, labeling this as a good matchup. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 40.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team. The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort should see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 40.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team. The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort should see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Jrue Holiday has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Jrue Holiday has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Over
-119

Jaylen Brown has made 50.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.6% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jaylen Brown has sunk 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Jaylen Brown has made 50.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.6% higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Jaylen Brown has sunk 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 8.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.7 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Kristaps Porzingis has converted 86.1% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 8.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.7 minutes per game this year. The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 13thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Kristaps Porzingis has converted 86.1% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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