GS -4.0 o222.0
LAC 4.0 u222.0
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Sportsnet

Oklahoma City @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.9
Best Odds
Under
-115

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year. The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots hit have tailed off this season to 7.6 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.9
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.9

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year. The Hawks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots hit have tailed off this season to 7.6 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 11.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged the least baskets per game in the league against them this year (38.6). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted overall this season. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 11.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this season. This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged the least baskets per game in the league against them this year (38.6). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Dejounte Murray has made 9.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Dejounte Murray has converted 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Dejounte Murray has made 9.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Dejounte Murray has converted 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has made 5.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged the least baskets per game in the league against them this year (38.6). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Onyeka Okongwu has made 5.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged the least baskets per game in the league against them this year (38.6). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Trae Young has made 10.2 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's converted in all games this year. Trae Young has attempted 10.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a positive matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Trae Young

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Trae Young has made 10.2 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's converted in all games this year. Trae Young has attempted 10.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a positive matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-122

Luguentz Dort has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's fantastic 125.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on threes (30th-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 7th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Luguentz Dort has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. With respect to offense, the Thunder's fantastic 125.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on threes (30th-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 7th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-118

Clint Capela has converted 69.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year at home. This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged the least baskets per game in the league against them this year (38.6). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Clint Capela has converted 69.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year at home. This matchup is a hard one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged the least baskets per game in the league against them this year (38.6). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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