GS -4.0 o222.0
LAC 4.0 u222.0
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
NBALP

New Orleans @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has sunk 50.4% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Naz Reid registers in the 78th percentile for three-pointers made, compiling 1.9 per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Naz Reid has sunk 50.4% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Naz Reid registers in the 78th percentile for three-pointers made, compiling 1.9 per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-120

In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5). This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Zion Williamson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production across the board.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5). This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Zion Williamson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production across the board.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

In contrast to last season's 17.9 rate, CJ McCollum's shots from the field have declined this season to 15.2 per game. In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shots from the field (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a difficult matchup. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the league).

CJ McCollum

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

In contrast to last season's 17.9 rate, CJ McCollum's shots from the field have declined this season to 15.2 per game. In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shots from the field (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a difficult matchup. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the league).

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-110

In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goal attempts (13th-weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Brandon Ingram stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goal attempts (13th-weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense). This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Brandon Ingram stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has converted 45.2% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.1). The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Mike Conley has converted 45.2% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.1). The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 62.4% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.7 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a positive one for scoring; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 62.8% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile). The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 62.4% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.7 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against Jonas Valanciunas is a positive one for scoring; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 62.8% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile). The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has made 72.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Larry Nance Jr. has made 66.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. This year, the other team has averaged 107.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup for offensive production. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.1

Larry Nance Jr. has made 72.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Larry Nance Jr. has made 66.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. This year, the other team has averaged 107.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup for offensive production. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-118

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 81st percentile for field goal performance away from his home court with a an excellent 53.6% rate this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have averaged 30.8% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. When on his home court and defending fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert rates in the 100th percentile with a massive 2.7 threes attempted against him per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 81st percentile for field goal performance away from his home court with a an excellent 53.6% rate this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have averaged 30.8% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making this a tough matchup. When on his home court and defending fellow starting Cs, Rudy Gobert rates in the 100th percentile with a massive 2.7 threes attempted against him per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has been called for a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 0.1 technicals per game last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves. When playing on the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Kyle Anderson has been called for a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 0.1 technicals per game last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves. When playing on the road, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-121

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 89th percentile for three-point ability with the home court advantage with a a terrific 46.0% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 5.4 three attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a favorable matchup. The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 89th percentile for three-point ability with the home court advantage with a a terrific 46.0% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.3 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 5.4 three attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a favorable matchup. The 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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