GS -4.0 o221.5
LAC 4.0 u221.5
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-51
NBALP

Detroit @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Knox II Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Knox II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-128
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-128
Projection Rating

The Detroit Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (maintaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Utah Jazz are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a massive 25.4 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA). Kevin Knox II figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

Kevin Knox II

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The Detroit Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (maintaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Utah Jazz are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a massive 25.4 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA). Kevin Knox II figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Detroit Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (maintaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Utah Jazz are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a massive 25.4 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA). Alec Burks should see a decline in output in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Alec Burks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The Detroit Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (maintaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Utah Jazz are playing at home, their opposition has attempted a massive 25.4 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA). Alec Burks should see a decline in output in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic slots into the 85th percentile, logging a whopping 17.9 points per game away from his home court this year. Relative to last season's 6.0 mark, Bojan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 7.2 per game. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Jazz, designating this as a positive matchup. The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Among all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic slots into the 85th percentile, logging a whopping 17.9 points per game away from his home court this year. Relative to last season's 6.0 mark, Bojan Bogdanovic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 7.2 per game. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Jazz, designating this as a positive matchup. The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons. The Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has successfully made 66.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year while at home. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 7.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (losing possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).

Kris Dunn

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Kris Dunn has successfully made 66.7% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year while at home. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 7.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (losing possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-112

John Collins has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have shot 51.1% on field goal attempts (highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a positive matchup.

John Collins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

John Collins has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have shot 51.1% on field goal attempts (highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Collin Sexton has posted 21.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's posted in all games this year. Collin Sexton has played 29.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Collin Sexton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Collin Sexton has posted 21.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's posted in all games this year. Collin Sexton has played 29.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Lauri Markkanen has attempted 7.9 3-pointers per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Lauri Markkanen has attempted 7.9 3-pointers per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 32.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Utah

S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+104

Simone Fontecchio has made 56.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Simone Fontecchio has attempted 5.9 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.8 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 45.0% on threes (27th-best in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a strong matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.

Simone Fontecchio

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Simone Fontecchio has made 56.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year. Simone Fontecchio has attempted 5.9 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.8 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 45.0% on threes (27th-best in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a strong matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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