GS -6.5 o223.0
LAC 6.5 u223.0
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
BSN, NBALP, Space City Home Network

Minnesota @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a mere 21.4 free throws per game this year (7th-least in the NBA). Jeff Green is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jeff Green

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense). The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a mere 21.4 free throws per game this year (7th-least in the NBA). Jeff Green is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing on the road. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 90th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a a great 95.2% rate this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Mike Conley has converted 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing on the road. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 90th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a a great 95.2% rate this year.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 1.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid comes in at the 89th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a remarkable 89.7% rate this year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Naz Reid has converted 1.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid comes in at the 89th percentile for free-throw prowess with a a remarkable 89.7% rate this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, opposing squads have shot 32.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 3.4 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s bricked 3-pointers have declined this year to 2.7 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

In contrast to last year's 3.4 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s bricked 3-pointers have declined this year to 2.7 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+105

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.1 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged 11.1 3-pointers per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc sunk against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (42.1%) when he is playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (87th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.1 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing clubs have averaged 11.1 3-pointers per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup. The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc sunk against Alperen Sengun has been remarkably high (42.1%) when he is playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (87th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-111

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 52.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 52.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. With respect to shooting, the Houston Rockets's outstanding 120.9 points per game measures as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further chances for offense).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 90th percentile, compiling a whopping 21.4 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 90th percentile, compiling a whopping 21.4 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic