GS -6.5 o223.0
LAC 6.5 u223.0
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
ROOT Sports, BSN, NBALP

Portland @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
34.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have posted the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.8%). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has decreased this year to 8.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.4
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.4

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have posted the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.8%). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has decreased this year to 8.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Shaedon Sharpe Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Sharpe
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Shaedon Sharpe has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense). Shaedon Sharpe stands to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

Shaedon Sharpe

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Shaedon Sharpe has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense). Shaedon Sharpe stands to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jerami Grant has posted 20.6 points per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category. Jerami Grant has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Jerami Grant

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Jerami Grant has posted 20.6 points per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category. Jerami Grant has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.7
Best Odds
Under
-115

In comparison to last season's 20.1 rate, Kyrie Irving's shots from the field have regressed this season to 18.1 per game. Kyrie Irving has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have posted the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.8%). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.7
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.7

In comparison to last season's 20.1 rate, Kyrie Irving's shots from the field have regressed this season to 18.1 per game. Kyrie Irving has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have posted the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.8%). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

In contrast to last year's 7.8 clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 9.0 per game. The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year when they are at home, their opposition has tallied 10.0 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, marking this as a difficult matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Compared to last season's 77.0% clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s foul-shot efficiency has spiked this season to 90.5%.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

In contrast to last year's 7.8 clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 9.0 per game. The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year when they are at home, their opposition has tallied 10.0 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, marking this as a difficult matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Compared to last season's 77.0% clip, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s foul-shot efficiency has spiked this season to 90.5%.

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dwight Powell rates in the 100th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a a great 75.3% rate this year. Dwight Powell has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Dwight Powell will likely see a spike in output in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Dwight Powell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Dwight Powell rates in the 100th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a a great 75.3% rate this year. Dwight Powell has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Dwight Powell will likely see a spike in output in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Toumani Camara has successfully made 39.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 8.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. The matchup against Dallas may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are on their home court (23rd-most in the NBA).

Toumani Camara

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Toumani Camara has successfully made 39.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 8.8% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. The matchup against Dallas may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are on their home court (23rd-most in the NBA).

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Anfernee Simons has attempted 20.3 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.9 mark last season. Anfernee Simons has successfully made 3.6 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Anfernee Simons has attempted 20.3 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.9 mark last season. Anfernee Simons has successfully made 3.6 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Anfernee Simons rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8). The Trail Blazers are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense). Malcolm Brogdon stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has secured 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense). Malcolm Brogdon stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Josh Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 34.4% more than he's made overall this year. Josh Green is expected to get a boost in output across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Josh Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 34.4% more than he's made overall this year. Josh Green is expected to get a boost in output across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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