GS -6.5 o223.0
LAC 6.5 u223.0
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
BSN, NBALP, Altitude Sports

Orlando @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Moritz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Wagner
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The showdown with Nikola Jokic lands in the 11th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs converting only 5.0 baskets per game this year when they are away from home. The 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Orlando Magic. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic rank 8thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Moritz Wagner

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

The showdown with Nikola Jokic lands in the 11th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs converting only 5.0 baskets per game this year when they are away from home. The 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Orlando Magic. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic rank 8thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Chuma Okeke Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Okeke
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Chuma Okeke has attempted 1.8 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Chuma Okeke lands in the 6th percentile for playing time, logging a lowly 6.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9). The 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Orlando Magic.

Chuma Okeke

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Chuma Okeke has attempted 1.8 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Chuma Okeke lands in the 6th percentile for playing time, logging a lowly 6.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9). The 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic. The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Orlando Magic.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have registered 15.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a difficult matchup for offensive production. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from facing the 9th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic). When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 20.5 foul shot attempts per game ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have registered 15.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a difficult matchup for offensive production. The Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from facing the 9th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic). When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 20.5 foul shot attempts per game ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jamal Murray has sunk 59.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% more than he's made overall this season playing at home. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has made 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made overall this year. Jamal Murray will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production for all stats.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Jamal Murray has sunk 59.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% more than he's made overall this season playing at home. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has made 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made overall this year. Jamal Murray will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production for all stats.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.1 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 18.9 points per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive performance. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.1 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 18.9 points per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive performance. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has made 68.9% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's converted in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has converted 92.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 18.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year at home. Reggie Jackson stands to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Reggie Jackson has made 68.9% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's converted in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson has converted 92.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games at home, 18.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year at home. Reggie Jackson stands to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Cole Anthony Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Anthony
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Cole Anthony registers in the 75th percentile, putting up a massive 14.1 points per game this year. The Magic have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. This year, opposing clubs have tallied 31.5 3-point attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup. Among all players in the league, Cole Anthony lands in the 84th percentile for foul shots converted without the home court advantage, logging a colossal 3.1 per game this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a lowly 19.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).

Cole Anthony

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Among all players in the league, Cole Anthony registers in the 75th percentile, putting up a massive 14.1 points per game this year. The Magic have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. This year, opposing clubs have tallied 31.5 3-point attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup. Among all players in the league, Cole Anthony lands in the 84th percentile for foul shots converted without the home court advantage, logging a colossal 3.1 per game this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a lowly 19.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has made 75.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 32.6% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 19.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Nikola Jokic has made 75.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 32.6% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jokic has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 19.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 85th percentile for three-point efficiency with a an excellent 41.1% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have compiled 20.2 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Magic, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive output. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 85th percentile for three-point efficiency with a an excellent 41.1% rate this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 31.7 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have compiled 20.2 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Magic, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive output. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The Magic have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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