GS -5.5 o223.0
LAC 5.5 u223.0
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBCS - BA, BSN, NBALP

Detroit @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bojan Bogdanovic has converted 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.3 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bojan Bogdanovic has converted 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.3 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-115

Klay Thompson has made 3.7 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against Detroit is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Pistons are on the road, opposing starting SFs have posted the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (45.0%). The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Klay Thompson has made 3.7 treys per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup against Detroit is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Pistons are on the road, opposing starting SFs have posted the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (45.0%). The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's tallied overall this year on the road. The Pistons have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Warriors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Detroit Pistons. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 25.4 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Alec Burks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Alec Burks has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's tallied overall this year on the road. The Pistons have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Warriors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Detroit Pistons. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors (lengthening possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 25.4 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29
Best Odds
Under
-107

Stephen Curry has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 0.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. As it relates to offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 46.1% field goal rate while on their home court measures as the 5th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 37.4% on field goals (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, creating a tough matchup. The 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29

Stephen Curry has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 0.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. As it relates to offense, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 46.1% field goal rate while on their home court measures as the 5th-lowest in the NBA this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 37.4% on field goals (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, creating a tough matchup. The 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has converted 78.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.3% more than he's sunk overall this season. The matchup with Jalen Duren comes in at only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs making a massive 1.6 shots from downtown per game this year when they are on their home court. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Kevon Looney

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Kevon Looney has converted 78.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.3% more than he's sunk overall this season. The matchup with Jalen Duren comes in at only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs making a massive 1.6 shots from downtown per game this year when they are on their home court. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+106

Chris Paul has sunk 56.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Chris Paul has sunk 57.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Chris Paul

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Chris Paul has sunk 56.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Chris Paul has sunk 57.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has converted 62.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season playing at home. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense). Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Jonathan Kuminga has converted 62.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% more than he's put through the net overall this season playing at home. The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, the other team has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra chances for offense). Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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