GS -6.0 o220.5
LAC 6.0 u220.5
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
BSN, NBALP, Space City Home Network

Milwaukee @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jeff Green has successfully made 57.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 7.4% more than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court. The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court in terms of shot attempts from downtown. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have averaged 31.7% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Bucks, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Rockets.

Jeff Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Jeff Green has successfully made 57.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 7.4% more than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court. The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court in terms of shot attempts from downtown. Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have averaged 31.7% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Bucks, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Rockets.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 21st percentile for 3-point ability on the road with a a lackluster 23.1% rate this year. The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 21st percentile for 3-point ability on the road with a a lackluster 23.1% rate this year. The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (24th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

Pat Connaughton has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (24th percentile). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Malik Beasley has sunk 2.9 treys per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Malik Beasley has sunk 2.9 treys per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 24th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Rockets.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court in terms of shot attempts from downtown. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 24th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Rockets.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
+100

Khris Middleton has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while on the road. Khris Middleton has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Khris Middleton has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while on the road. Khris Middleton has averaged 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-102

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Under
-108

Fred VanVleet has attempted a lowly 7.5 threes per game this season, significantly less than his 8.8 rate last season. The Rockets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Fred VanVleet has attempted a lowly 7.5 threes per game this season, significantly less than his 8.8 rate last season. The Rockets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year. The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Rockets have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks. On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic